France EUR

France 12-Month BTF Auction

Impact:
None

Latest Release:

Actual:
1.905%
Forecast:
Previous/Revision:
1.893%
Period: Apr 2025

Next Release:

Forecast:
Period: May 2025
What Does It Measure?
The France 12-Month BTF (Bons du Trésor à Taux Fixe et á Intérêts Annuels) Auction measures the yield and demand dynamics for the French government's short-term debt instruments with a 12-month maturity. It primarily focuses on investor confidence in French sovereign debt and the cost of borrowing for the government, with crucial indicators being the bid-to-cover ratio and the average yield; this is a national indicator reflecting the domestic market conditions. -
Frequency
The France 12-Month BTF Auction is conducted monthly, typically occurring in the first or second week of the month, providing investors with yields that may be subject to market trends and monetary policy expectations. -
Why Do Traders Care?
Traders care about the France 12-Month BTF Auction because it directly affects the borrowing costs for the French government and reflects investor sentiment towards French creditworthiness. Strong demand or lower-than-expected yields can be bullish for the euro and may influence bond and equity markets, while weak auction results could signal bearish sentiment, impacting economic forecasts. -
What Is It Derived From?
The yield at the France 12-Month BTF Auction is derived from competitive bidding, where financial institutions submit bids reflecting the amount they are willing to lend and the yield they expect. The bidding process determines the average yield, and the bid-to-cover ratio indicates the overall demand compared to the amount offered. -
Description
The France 12-Month BTF Auction provides insights into both the financial market's view of French sovereign risk and the broader economic environment, with preliminary auction results offering immediate market data followed by detailed analyses in subsequent reports. Preliminary results can lead to significant market movements due to their timeliness, while final data often adjust market sentiment more subtly. Since the auction operates on a shorter-term basis, it is not typically analyzed on a month-over-month or year-over-year basis, instead relying on immediate contextual and comparative yield analysis. -
Additional Notes
The France 12-Month BTF Auction serves as a leading indicator of investor confidence in French government bonds and is comparable to similar short-term debt auctions globally. As a short-term debt tool, it can influence or reflect broader economic trends and may also signal shifts in monetary policy expectations, depending on the yield developments. -
Bullish or Bearish for Currency and Stocks
Higher than expected: Bullish for Euro, Bullish for French Stocks. Lower than expected: Bearish for Euro, Bearish for French Stocks. Hawkish tone: Signaling higher interest rates or inflation concerns, is usually good for the Euro but bad for French Stocks due to higher borrowing costs.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.

Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
1.905%
1.893%
1.893%
2.013%
2.013%
1.996%
1.996%
2.131%
2.131%
2.226%
2.226%
2.279%
2.279%
2.287%
2.287%
2.239%
2.239%
2.241%
2.241%
2.276%
2.276%
2.224%
2.224%
2.218%
2.218%
2.407%
2.407%
2.408%
2.408%
2.489%
2.489%
2.435%
2.435%
2.372%
2.372%
2.357%
2.357%
2.342%
2.342%
2.382%
2.382%
2.507%
2.507%
2.515%
2.515%
2.647%
2.647%
2.531%
2.531%
2.593%
2.593%
2.73%
2.73%
2.746%
2.746%
2.714%
2.714%
2.789%
2.789%
2.823%
2.823%
2.859%
2.859%
2.997%
2.997%
2.999%
2.999%
3.029%
3.029%
3.053%
3.053%
2.924%
2.924%
3.252%
3.252%
3.341%
3.341%
3.355%
3.355%
3.439%
3.439%
3.477%
3.477%
3.437%
3.437%
3.452%
3.452%
3.517%
3.517%
3.487%
3.487%
3.503%
3.503%
3.467%
3.467%
3.481%
3.481%
3.46%
3.46%
3.488%
3.488%
3.474%
3.474%
3.471%
3.471%
3.461%
3.461%
3.413%
3.413%
3.436%
3.436%
3.526%
3.526%
3.45%
3.45%
3.507%
3.507%
3.471%
3.471%
3.477%
3.477%
3.408%
3.408%
3.358%
3.358%
3.239%
3.239%
3.406%
3.406%
3.319%
3.319%
3.341%
3.341%
3.215%
3.215%
3.333%
3.333%
3.423%
3.423%
3.393%
3.393%
3.659%
3.659%
3.65%
3.65%
3.674%
3.674%
3.682%
3.682%
3.711%
3.711%
3.77%
3.77%
3.776%
3.776%
3.755%
3.755%
3.787%
3.787%
3.789%
3.789%
3.773%
3.773%
3.646%
3.646%
3.609%
3.609%
3.631%
3.631%
3.639%
3.639%
3.627%
3.627%
3.574%
3.574%
3.657%
3.657%
3.659%
3.659%
3.759%
3.759%
3.761%
3.761%
3.697%
3.697%
3.623%
3.623%
3.605%
3.605%
3.429%
3.429%
3.43%
3.43%
3.359%
3.359%
3.324%
3.324%
3.249%
3.249%
3.215%
3.215%
3.254%
3.254%
3.354%
3.354%
3.329%
3.329%
3.17%
3.17%
3.158%
3.158%
3.046%
3.046%
2.76%
2.76%
2.891%
2.891%
3.358%
3.358%
3.24%
3.24%
3.132%
3.132%
3.017%
3.017%
2.772%
2.772%
2.875%
2.875%
2.833%
2.833%
2.822%
2.822%
2.796%
2.796%
2.824%
2.824%
2.628%
2.628%
2.426%
2.426%
2.397%
2.397%
2.346%
2.346%
2.275%
2.275%
2.374%
2.374%
2.344%
2.344%
2.145%
2.145%
2.166%
2.166%
2.115%
2.115%
1.95%
1.95%
1.814%
1.814%
1.855%
1.855%
1.798%
1.798%
1.45%
1.45%
0.746%
0.746%
0.658%
0.658%
0.68%
0.68%
0.615%
0.615%
0.545%
0.545%
0.453%
0.453%
0.457%
0.457%
0.545%
0.545%
0.45%
0.45%
0.453%
0.453%
0.609%
0.609%
0.708%
0.708%
0.531%
0.531%
0.239%
0.239%
0.051%
0.051%
-0.147%
-0.147%
-0.12%
-0.12%
-0.167%
-0.167%
-0.156%
-0.156%
-0.291%
-0.291%
-0.32%
-0.32%
-0.41%
-0.41%
-0.472%
-0.472%
-0.561%
-0.561%
-0.563%
-0.563%
-0.64%
-0.64%
-0.605%
-0.605%
-0.586%
-0.586%
-0.557%
-0.557%
-0.47%
-0.47%
-0.643%
-0.643%
-0.663%
-0.663%
-0.632%
-0.632%
-0.621%
-0.621%
-0.635%
-0.635%
-0.644%
-0.644%
-0.792%
-0.792%
-0.771%
-0.771%
-0.754%
-0.754%
-0.754%
-0.754%
-0.675%
-0.675%
-0.651%
-0.651%
-0.636%
-0.636%
-0.629%
-0.629%
-0.641%
-0.641%
-0.648%
-0.648%
-0.65%
-0.65%
-0.657%
-0.657%
-0.649%
-0.649%
-0.655%
-0.655%
-0.653%
-0.653%
-0.651%
-0.651%
-0.648%
-0.648%
-0.645%
-0.645%
-0.642%
-0.642%
-0.641%
-0.641%
-0.638%
-0.638%
-0.637%
-0.637%
-0.64%
-0.64%
-0.648%
-0.648%
-0.646%
-0.646%
-0.647%
-0.647%
-0.636%
-0.636%
-0.641%
-0.641%
-0.632%
-0.632%
-0.626%
-0.626%
-0.628%
-0.628%
-0.619%
-0.619%
-0.623%
-0.623%
-0.618%
-0.618%
-0.629%
-0.629%
-0.632%
-0.632%
-0.63%
-0.63%
-0.625%
-0.625%
-0.605%
-0.605%
-0.61%
-0.61%
-0.59%
-0.59%
-0.614%
-0.614%
-0.637%
-0.637%
-0.642%
-0.642%
-0.642%
-0.642%
-0.621%
-0.621%
-0.614%
-0.614%
-0.632%
-0.632%
-0.602%
-0.602%
-0.692%
-0.692%
-0.676%
-0.676%
-0.647%
-0.647%
-0.616%
-0.616%
-0.598%
-0.598%
-0.627%
-0.627%
-0.648%
-0.648%
-0.638%
-0.638%
-0.646%
-0.646%
-0.628%
-0.628%
-0.611%
-0.611%
-0.601%
-0.601%
-0.581%
-0.581%
-0.573%
-0.573%
-0.575%
-0.575%
-0.567%
-0.567%
-0.578%
-0.578%
-0.571%
-0.571%
-0.565%
-0.565%
-0.56%
-0.56%
-0.556%
-0.556%
-0.564%
-0.564%
-0.557%
-0.557%
-0.559%
-0.559%
-0.53%
-0.53%
-0.526%
-0.526%
-0.496%
-0.496%
-0.488%
-0.488%
-0.514%
-0.514%
-0.517%
-0.517%
-0.498%
-0.498%
-0.496%
-0.496%
-0.462%
-0.462%
-0.403%
-0.403%
-0.388%
-0.388%
-0.431%
-0.431%
-0.465%
-0.465%
-0.494%
-0.494%
-0.534%
-0.534%
-0.625%
-0.625%
-0.716%
-0.716%
-0.642%
-0.642%
-0.591%
-0.591%
-0.582%
-0.582%
-0.586%
-0.586%
-0.596%
-0.596%
-0.575%
-0.575%
-0.576%
-0.576%
-0.583%
-0.583%
-0.589%
-0.589%
-0.601%
-0.601%
-0.576%
-0.576%
-0.576%
-0.576%
-0.59%
-0.59%
-0.58%
-0.58%
-0.628%
-0.628%
-0.648%
-0.648%
-0.612%
-0.612%
-0.593%
-0.593%
-0.628%
-0.628%
-0.632%
-0.632%
-0.609%
-0.609%
-0.624%
-0.624%
-0.729%
-0.729%
-0.742%
-0.742%
-0.717%
-0.717%
-0.728%
-0.728%
-0.679%
-0.679%
-0.645%
-0.645%
-0.65%
-0.65%
-0.655%
-0.655%
-0.621%
-0.621%
-0.625%
-0.625%
-0.626%
-0.626%
-0.592%
-0.592%
-0.566%
-0.566%
-0.559%
-0.559%
-0.562%
-0.562%
-0.547%
-0.547%
-0.555%
-0.555%
-0.567%
-0.567%
-0.552%
-0.552%
-0.535%
-0.535%
-0.527%
-0.527%
-0.521%
-0.521%
-0.52%
-0.52%
-0.52%
-0.52%
-0.531%
-0.531%
-0.521%
-0.521%
-0.521%
-0.52%
-0.51%
-0.51%
-0.517%
-0.517%
-0.501%
-0.501%
-0.499%
-0.499%
-0.518%
-0.518%
-0.532%
-0.532%
-0.551%
-0.551%
-0.557%
-0.557%
-0.565%
-0.565%
-0.566%
-0.566%
-0.577%
-0.577%
-0.572%
-0.572%
-0.566%
-0.566%
-0.578%
-0.578%
-0.626%
-0.626%
-0.62%
-0.62%
-0.621%
-0.621%
-0.625%
-0.625%
-0.568%
-0.568%
-0.551%
-0.551%
-0.554%
-0.554%
-0.551%
-0.551%
-0.618%
-0.618%
-0.555%
-0.555%
-0.545%
-0.545%
-0.551%
-0.551%
-0.559%
-0.559%
-0.545%
-0.545%
-0.54%
-0.54%
-0.558%
-0.558%
-0.563%
-0.563%
-0.558%
-0.558%
-0.57%
-0.57%
-0.584%
-0.584%
-0.591%
-0.591%
-0.592%
-0.592%
-0.565%
-0.565%
-0.567%
-0.567%
-0.567%
-0.567%
-0.557%
-0.557%
-0.56%
-0.56%
-0.55%
-0.55%
-0.55%
-0.55%
-0.55%
-0.55%
-0.559%
-0.559%
-0.566%
-0.566%
-0.57%
-0.57%
-0.578%
-0.578%
-0.584%
-0.584%
-0.589%
-0.589%
-0.572%
-0.572%
-0.561%
-0.561%
-0.563%
-0.563%
-0.56%
-0.56%
-0.558%
-0.558%
-0.568%
-0.568%
-0.543%
-0.543%
-0.557%
-0.557%
-0.598%
-0.598%
-0.665%
-0.665%
-0.637%
-0.637%
-0.631%
-0.631%
-0.646%
-0.646%
-0.643%
-0.643%
-0.631%
-0.631%
-0.606%
-0.606%
-0.591%
-0.591%
-0.597%
-0.597%
-0.577%
-0.577%
-0.586%
-0.586%
-0.586%
-0.586%
-0.586%
-0.586%
-0.571%
-0.571%
-0.568%
-0.568%
-0.568%
-0.568%
-0.556%
-0.556%
-0.546%
-0.546%
-0.536%
-0.536%
-0.542%
-0.542%
-0.55%
-0.55%
-0.562%
-0.562%
-0.595%
-0.595%
-0.601%
-0.601%
-0.565%
-0.565%
-0.541%
-0.541%
-0.538%
-0.538%
-0.545%
-0.545%
-0.555%
-0.555%
-0.541%
-0.541%
-0.535%
-0.535%
-0.453%
-0.453%
-0.492%
-0.492%
-0.527%
-0.527%
-0.52%
-0.52%
-0.522%
-0.522%
-0.613%
-0.613%
-0.543%
-0.543%
-0.554%
-0.554%
-0.574%
-0.574%
-0.589%
-0.589%
-0.591%
-0.591%
-0.526%
-0.526%
-0.53%
-0.53%
-0.526%
-0.526%
-0.622%
-0.622%
-0.697%
-0.697%
-0.665%
-0.665%
-0.666%
-0.666%
-0.638%
-0.638%
-0.651%
-0.651%
-0.677%
-0.677%
-0.675%
-0.675%
-0.635%
-0.635%
-0.616%
-0.616%
-0.624%
-0.624%
-0.633%
-0.633%
-0.589%
-0.589%
-0.569%
-0.569%
-0.566%
-0.566%
-0.587%
-0.587%
-0.585%
-0.585%
-0.587%
-0.587%
-0.583%
-0.583%
-0.574%
-0.574%
-0.56%
-0.56%
-0.546%
-0.546%
-0.569%
-0.569%
-0.582%
-0.582%
-0.563%
-0.563%
-0.541%
-0.541%
-0.496%
-0.496%
-0.494%
-0.494%
-0.497%
-0.497%
-0.487%
-0.487%
-0.495%
-0.495%
-0.493%
-0.493%
-0.485%
-0.485%
-0.469%
-0.466%
-0.468%
-0.468%
-0.439%
-0.439%
-0.424%
-0.424%
-0.431%
-0.431%
-0.427%
-0.427%
-0.418%
-0.418%
-0.453%
-0.453%
-0.435%
-0.435%
-0.399%
-0.399%
-0.401%
-0.401%
-0.426%
-0.426%
-0.397%
-0.397%
-0.376%
-0.376%
-0.366%
-0.366%
-0.377%
-0.377%
-0.385%
-0.385%
-0.314%
-0.314%
-0.283%
-0.283%
-0.358%
-0.358%
-0.321%
-0.321%
-0.294%
-0.294%
-0.259%
-0.259%
-0.257%
-0.257%
-0.257%
-0.257%
-0.209%
-0.209%
-0.197%
-0.197%
-0.198%
-0.198%
-0.19%
-0.19%
-0.186%
-0.186%
-0.188%
-0.188%
-0.187%
-0.187%
-0.194%
-0.194%
-0.201%
-0.201%
-0.2%
-0.2%
-0.201%
-0.201%
-0.202%
-0.202%
-0.19%
-0.19%
-0.19%
-0.19%
-0.175%