France EUR
France 12-Month BTF Auction
Impacter: 
Rien
RienLatest Release:
Réel:
1,905%
Prévision:
Previous/Revision:
1,893%
Period:
avr. 2025
Next Release:
Prévision:
Period:
mai 2025
Ce que cela mesure
L'enchère BTF à 12 mois en France (Bons du Trésor à Taux Fixe et à Intérêts Annuels) mesure le rendement et la dynamique de la demande pour les instruments de dette à court terme du gouvernement français à maturité de 12 mois. Elle se concentre principalement sur la confiance des investisseurs dans la dette souveraine française et le coût de l'emprunt pour le gouvernement, avec des indicateurs cruciaux tels que le ratio de couverture des offres et le rendement moyen. Il s'agit d'un indicateur national reflétant les conditions du marché domestique.
-
Fréquence
L'enchère BTF à 12 mois en France a lieu chaque mois, généralement dans la première ou la deuxième semaine du mois, offrant aux investisseurs des rendements susceptibles d'être influencés par les tendances du marché et les attentes en matière de politique monétaire.
-
Pourquoi les traders s'en soucient-ils ?
Les traders s'intéressent à l'enchère BTF à 12 mois en France car elle affecte directement les coûts d'emprunt du gouvernement français et reflète le sentiment des investisseurs à l'égard de la solvabilité de la France. Une forte demande ou des rendements inférieurs aux attentes peuvent être haussiers pour l'euro et influencer les marchés obligataires et boursiers, tandis que de mauvais résultats d'enchères pourraient signaler un sentiment baissier, impactant les prévisions économiques.
-
De quoi est-il dérivé ?
Le rendement à l'enchère BTF à 12 mois en France est dérivé de la concurrence au moment de l'offre, où les institutions financières soumettent des enchères reflétant le montant qu'elles sont prêtes à prêter et le rendement qu'elles attendent. Le processus d'enchères détermine le rendement moyen, et le ratio de couverture des offres indique la demande globale par rapport au montant offert.
-
Description
L'enchère BTF à 12 mois en France fournit un aperçu du point de vue du marché financier sur le risque souverain français et sur l'environnement économique au sens large, les résultats préliminaires de l'enchère offrant des données immédiates au marché suivies d'analyses détaillées dans des rapports ultérieurs. Les résultats préliminaires peuvent entraîner des mouvements significatifs du marché en raison de leur rapidité, tandis que les données finales ajustent souvent le sentiment du marché de manière plus subtile. Étant donné que l'enchère fonctionne sur une base à plus court terme, elle n'est généralement pas analysée sur une base mensuelle ou annuelle, mais repose plutôt sur une analyse de rendement contextuelle et comparative immédiate.
-
Notes supplémentaires
L'enchère BTF à 12 mois en France sert de principal indicateur de la confiance des investisseurs dans les obligations d'État françaises et est comparable à des enchères similaires de dette à court terme dans le monde. En tant qu'outil de dette à court terme, elle peut influencer ou refléter de grandes tendances économiques et peut également signaler des changements dans les attentes en matière de politique monétaire, selon les évolutions du rendement.
-
Haussier ou baissier pour la devise et les actions
Plus élevé que prévu : Haussier pour l'euro, haussier pour les actions françaises.
Inférieur aux prévisions : Baissier pour l'euro, baissier pour les actions françaises.
Ton belliciste : Signaler des taux d'intérêt plus élevés ou des préoccupations inflationnistes, est généralement bon pour l'euro mais mauvais pour les actions françaises en raison de coûts d'emprunt plus élevés.
Legend
High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.
Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.
Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.
Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.
Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.
Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.
Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.
| Green Number | Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better) |
| Red Number | Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better) |
| Hawkish | Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks. |
| Dovish | Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks. |
| Date | Time | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1,905% |
1,893% |
||||
1,893% |
2,013% |
||||
2,013% |
1,996% |
||||
1,996% |
2,131% |
||||
2,131% |
2,226% |
||||
2,226% |
2,279% |
||||
2,279% |
2,287% |
||||
2,287% |
2,239% |
||||
2,239% |
2,241% |
||||
2,241% |
2,276% |
||||
2,276% |
2,224% |
||||
2,224% |
2,218% |
||||
2,218% |
2,407% |
||||
2,407% |
2,408% |
||||
2,408% |
2,489% |
||||
2,489% |
2,435% |
||||
2,435% |
2,372% |
||||
2,372% |
2,357% |
||||
2,357% |
2,342% |
||||
2,342% |
2,382% |
||||
2,382% |
2,507% |
||||
2,507% |
2,515% |
||||
2,515% |
2,647% |
||||
2,647% |
2,531% |
||||
2,531% |
2,593% |
||||
2,593% |
2,73% |
||||
2,73% |
2,746% |
||||
2,746% |
2,714% |
||||
2,714% |
2,789% |
||||
2,789% |
2,823% |
||||
2,823% |
2,859% |
||||
2,859% |
2,997% |
||||
2,997% |
2,999% |
||||
2,999% |
3,029% |
||||
3,029% |
3,053% |
||||
3,053% |
2,924% |
||||
2,924% |
3,252% |
||||
3,252% |
3,341% |
||||
3,341% |
3,355% |
||||
3,355% |
3,439% |
||||
3,439% |
3,477% |
||||
3,477% |
3,437% |
||||
3,437% |
3,452% |
||||
3,452% |
3,517% |
||||
3,517% |
3,487% |
||||
3,487% |
3,503% |
||||
3,503% |
3,467% |
||||
3,467% |
3,481% |
||||
3,481% |
3,46% |
||||
3,46% |
3,488% |
||||
3,488% |
3,474% |
||||
3,474% |
3,471% |
||||
3,471% |
3,461% |
||||
3,461% |
3,413% |
||||
3,413% |
3,436% |
||||
3,436% |
3,526% |
||||
3,526% |
3,45% |
||||
3,45% |
3,507% |
||||
3,507% |
3,471% |
||||
3,471% |
3,477% |
||||
3,477% |
3,408% |
||||
3,408% |
3,358% |
||||
3,358% |
3,239% |
||||
3,239% |
3,406% |
||||
3,406% |
3,319% |
||||
3,319% |
3,341% |
||||
3,341% |
3,215% |
||||
3,215% |
3,333% |
||||
3,333% |
3,423% |
||||
3,423% |
3,393% |
||||
3,393% |
3,659% |
||||
3,659% |
3,65% |
||||
3,65% |
3,674% |
||||
3,674% |
3,682% |
||||
3,682% |
3,711% |
||||
3,711% |
3,77% |
||||
3,77% |
3,776% |
||||
3,776% |
3,755% |
||||
3,755% |
3,787% |
||||
3,787% |
3,789% |
||||
3,789% |
3,773% |
||||
3,773% |
3,646% |
||||
3,646% |
3,609% |
||||
3,609% |
3,631% |
||||
3,631% |
3,639% |
||||
3,639% |
3,627% |
||||
3,627% |
3,574% |
||||
3,574% |
3,657% |
||||
3,657% |
3,659% |
||||
3,659% |
3,759% |
||||
3,759% |
3,761% |
||||
3,761% |
3,697% |
||||
3,697% |
3,623% |
||||
3,623% |
3,605% |
||||
3,605% |
3,429% |
||||
3,429% |
3,43% |
||||
3,43% |
3,359% |
||||
3,359% |
3,324% |
||||
3,324% |
3,249% |
||||
3,249% |
3,215% |
||||
3,215% |
3,254% |
||||
3,254% |
3,354% |
||||
3,354% |
3,329% |
||||
3,329% |
3,17% |
||||
3,17% |
3,158% |
||||
3,158% |
3,046% |
||||
3,046% |
2,76% |
||||
2,76% |
2,891% |
||||
2,891% |
3,358% |
||||
3,358% |
3,24% |
||||
3,24% |
3,132% |
||||
3,132% |
3,017% |
||||
3,017% |
2,772% |
||||
2,772% |
2,875% |
||||
2,875% |
2,833% |
||||
2,833% |
2,822% |
||||
2,822% |
2,796% |
||||
2,796% |
2,824% |
||||
2,824% |
2,628% |
||||
2,628% |
2,426% |
||||
2,426% |
2,397% |
||||
2,397% |
2,346% |
||||
2,346% |
2,275% |
||||
2,275% |
2,374% |
||||
2,374% |
2,344% |
||||
2,344% |
2,145% |
||||
2,145% |
2,166% |
||||
2,166% |
2,115% |
||||
2,115% |
1,95% |
||||
1,95% |
1,814% |
||||
1,814% |
1,855% |
||||
1,855% |
1,798% |
||||
1,798% |
1,45% |
||||
1,45% |
0,746% |
||||
0,746% |
0,658% |
||||
0,658% |
0,68% |
||||
0,68% |
0,615% |
||||
0,615% |
0,545% |
||||
0,545% |
0,453% |
||||
0,453% |
0,457% |
||||
0,457% |
0,545% |
||||
0,545% |
0,45% |
||||
0,45% |
0,453% |
||||
0,453% |
0,609% |
||||
0,609% |
0,708% |
||||
0,708% |
0,531% |
||||
0,531% |
0,239% |
||||
0,239% |
0,051% |
||||
0,051% |
-0,147% |
||||
-0,147% |
-0,12% |
||||
-0,12% |
-0,167% |
||||
-0,167% |
-0,156% |
||||
-0,156% |
-0,291% |
||||
-0,291% |
-0,32% |
||||
-0,32% |
-0,41% |
||||
-0,41% |
-0,472% |
||||
-0,472% |
-0,561% |
||||
-0,561% |
-0,563% |
||||
-0,563% |
-0,64% |
||||
-0,64% |
-0,605% |
||||
-0,605% |
-0,586% |
||||
-0,586% |
-0,557% |
||||
-0,557% |
-0,47% |
||||
-0,47% |
-0,643% |
||||
-0,643% |
-0,663% |
||||
-0,663% |
-0,632% |
||||
-0,632% |
-0,621% |
||||
-0,621% |
-0,635% |
||||
-0,635% |
-0,644% |
||||
-0,644% |
-0,792% |
||||
-0,792% |
-0,771% |
||||
-0,771% |
-0,754% |
||||
-0,754% |
-0,754% |
||||
-0,754% |
-0,675% |
||||
-0,675% |
-0,651% |
||||
-0,651% |
-0,636% |
||||
-0,636% |
-0,629% |
||||
-0,629% |
-0,641% |
||||
-0,641% |
-0,648% |
||||
-0,648% |
-0,65% |
||||
-0,65% |
-0,657% |
||||
-0,657% |
-0,649% |
||||
-0,649% |
-0,655% |
||||
-0,655% |
-0,653% |
||||
-0,653% |
-0,651% |
||||
-0,651% |
-0,648% |
||||
-0,648% |
-0,645% |
||||
-0,645% |
-0,642% |
||||
-0,642% |
-0,641% |
||||
-0,641% |
-0,638% |
||||
-0,638% |
-0,637% |
||||
-0,637% |
-0,64% |
||||
-0,64% |
-0,648% |
||||
-0,648% |
-0,646% |
||||
-0,646% |
-0,647% |
||||
-0,647% |
-0,636% |
||||
-0,636% |
-0,641% |
||||
-0,641% |
-0,632% |
||||
-0,632% |
-0,626% |
||||
-0,626% |
-0,628% |
||||
-0,628% |
-0,619% |
||||
-0,619% |
-0,623% |
||||
-0,623% |
-0,618% |
||||
-0,618% |
-0,629% |
||||
-0,629% |
-0,632% |
||||
-0,632% |
-0,63% |
||||
-0,63% |
-0,625% |
||||
-0,625% |
-0,605% |
||||
-0,605% |
-0,61% |
||||
-0,61% |
-0,59% |
||||
-0,59% |
-0,614% |
||||
-0,614% |
-0,637% |
||||
-0,637% |
-0,642% |
||||
-0,642% |
-0,642% |
||||
-0,642% |
-0,621% |
||||
-0,621% |
-0,614% |
||||
-0,614% |
-0,632% |
||||
-0,632% |
-0,602% |
||||
-0,602% |
-0,692% |
||||
-0,692% |
-0,676% |
||||
-0,676% |
-0,647% |
||||
-0,647% |
-0,616% |
||||
-0,616% |
-0,598% |
||||
-0,598% |
-0,627% |
||||
-0,627% |
-0,648% |
||||
-0,648% |
-0,638% |
||||
-0,638% |
-0,646% |
||||
-0,646% |
-0,628% |
||||
-0,628% |
-0,611% |
||||
-0,611% |
-0,601% |
||||
-0,601% |
-0,581% |
||||
-0,581% |
-0,573% |
||||
-0,573% |
-0,575% |
||||
-0,575% |
-0,567% |
||||
-0,567% |
-0,578% |
||||
-0,578% |
-0,571% |
||||
-0,571% |
-0,565% |
||||
-0,565% |
-0,56% |
||||
-0,56% |
-0,556% |
||||
-0,556% |
-0,564% |
||||
-0,564% |
-0,557% |
||||
-0,557% |
-0,559% |
||||
-0,559% |
-0,53% |
||||
-0,53% |
-0,526% |
||||
-0,526% |
-0,496% |
||||
-0,496% |
-0,488% |
||||
-0,488% |
-0,514% |
||||
-0,514% |
-0,517% |
||||
-0,517% |
-0,498% |
||||
-0,498% |
-0,496% |
||||
-0,496% |
-0,462% |
||||
-0,462% |
-0,403% |
||||
-0,403% |
-0,388% |
||||
-0,388% |
-0,431% |
||||
-0,431% |
-0,465% |
||||
-0,465% |
-0,494% |
||||
-0,494% |
-0,534% |
||||
-0,534% |
-0,625% |
||||
-0,625% |
-0,716% |
||||
-0,716% |
-0,642% |
||||
-0,642% |
-0,591% |
||||
-0,591% |
-0,582% |
||||
-0,582% |
-0,586% |
||||
-0,586% |
-0,596% |
||||
-0,596% |
-0,575% |
||||
-0,575% |
-0,576% |
||||
-0,576% |
-0,583% |
||||
-0,583% |
-0,589% |
||||
-0,589% |
-0,601% |
||||
-0,601% |
-0,576% |
||||
-0,576% |
-0,576% |
||||
-0,576% |
-0,59% |
||||
-0,59% |
-0,58% |
||||
-0,58% |
-0,628% |
||||
-0,628% |
-0,648% |
||||
-0,648% |
-0,612% |
||||
-0,612% |
-0,593% |
||||
-0,593% |
-0,628% |
||||
-0,628% |
-0,632% |
||||
-0,632% |
-0,609% |
||||
-0,609% |
-0,624% |
||||
-0,624% |
-0,729% |
||||
-0,729% |
-0,742% |
||||
-0,742% |
-0,717% |
||||
-0,717% |
-0,728% |
||||
-0,728% |
-0,679% |
||||
-0,679% |
-0,645% |
||||
-0,645% |
-0,65% |
||||
-0,65% |
-0,655% |
||||
-0,655% |
-0,621% |
||||
-0,621% |
-0,625% |
||||
-0,625% |
-0,626% |
||||
-0,626% |
-0,592% |
||||
-0,592% |
-0,566% |
||||
-0,566% |
-0,559% |
||||
-0,559% |
-0,562% |
||||
-0,562% |
-0,547% |
||||
-0,547% |
-0,555% |
||||
-0,555% |
-0,567% |
||||
-0,567% |
-0,552% |
||||
-0,552% |
-0,535% |
||||
-0,535% |
-0,527% |
||||
-0,527% |
-0,521% |
||||
-0,521% |
-0,52% |
||||
-0,52% |
-0,52% |
||||
-0,52% |
-0,531% |
||||
-0,531% |
-0,521% |
||||
-0,521% |
-0,521% |
||||
-0,52% |
-0,51% |
||||
-0,51% |
-0,517% |
||||
-0,517% |
-0,501% |
||||
-0,501% |
-0,499% |
||||
-0,499% |
-0,518% |
||||
-0,518% |
-0,532% |
||||
-0,532% |
-0,551% |
||||
-0,551% |
-0,557% |
||||
-0,557% |
-0,565% |
||||
-0,565% |
-0,566% |
||||
-0,566% |
-0,577% |
||||
-0,577% |
-0,572% |
||||
-0,572% |
-0,566% |
||||
-0,566% |
-0,578% |
||||
-0,578% |
-0,626% |
||||
-0,626% |
-0,62% |
||||
-0,62% |
-0,621% |
||||
-0,621% |
-0,625% |
||||
-0,625% |
-0,568% |
||||
-0,568% |
-0,551% |
||||
-0,551% |
-0,554% |
||||
-0,554% |
-0,551% |
||||
-0,551% |
-0,618% |
||||
-0,618% |
-0,555% |
||||
-0,555% |
-0,545% |
||||
-0,545% |
-0,551% |
||||
-0,551% |
-0,559% |
||||
-0,559% |
-0,545% |
||||
-0,545% |
-0,54% |
||||
-0,54% |
-0,558% |
||||
-0,558% |
-0,563% |
||||
-0,563% |
-0,558% |
||||
-0,558% |
-0,57% |
||||
-0,57% |
-0,584% |
||||
-0,584% |
-0,591% |
||||
-0,591% |
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