France EUR

France 12-Month BTF Auction

تأثیر:
هیچ یک

Latest Release:

واقعی:
1/905%
پیش بینی:
Previous/Revision:
1/893%
Period: اردیبهشت 1404

Next Release:

پیش بینی:
Period: اردیبهشت 1404
چه چیزی را اندازه گیری می‌کند؟
شاخص خدمات کایشین چین فعالیت اقتصادی غیر تولیدی چین در بخش خدمات را اندازه‌گیری می‌کند. این شاخص به ارزیابی زمینه‌های کلیدی مانند فعالیت‌های تجاری، اشتغال، سفارش‌های جدید و فشارهای قیمتی می‌پردازد. شاخص کلیدی در اینجا این است که آیا شاخص PMI بالاتر یا پایین‌تر از ۵۰ است، به طوری که بالاتر از ۵۰ نشان‌دهنده گسترش و پایین‌تر از ۵۰ نشان‌دهنده انقباض است و این یک شاخص ملی است.
فراوانی
شاخص خدمات کایشین چین به صورت ماهانه منتشر می‌شود، معمولاً به صورت رقم مقدماتی در هفته اول ماه بعد منتشر می‌شود.
چرا بازرگانان اهمیت می‌دهند؟
بازرگانان به شاخص خدمات کایشین چین اهمیت می‌دهند زیرا این شاخص بینش‌هایی از رشد اقتصادی و فعالیت بالقوه تجاری در چین ارائه می‌دهد و بر احساسات سرمایه‌گذاران و بازارهای مالی تأثیر می‌گذارد. نتایج مثبت یا بالاتر از حد انتظار برای یوان چین و سهام‌ها صعودی است، در حالی که خوانش‌های ضعیف‌تر ممکن است اثرات نزولی داشته باشد و بر پیش‌بینی‌ها و تصمیم‌گیری‌های اقتصادی تأثیر بگذارد.
از چه چیزی مشتق شده است؟
شاخص خدمات کایشین چین از نظرسنجی انجام شده با مدیران خرید از بیش از ۴۰۰ کسب و کار در بخش خدماتی چین مشتق شده است. روش‌شناسی جمع‌آوری داده شامل پاسخ‌های وزنی به شرایط تجاری جاری مانند سفارش‌های جدید و اشتغال است تا یک شاخص انتشار ایجاد شود.
شرح
شاخص خدمات کایشین چین یک سیگنال اولیه از نقاط تغییر در رشد اقتصادی و شرایط در حال تغییر در بخش خدمات ارائه می‌دهد. داده‌های مقدماتی، بر اساس پاسخ‌های اولیه، اغلب به صورت فوری احساسات بازار را تحت تأثیر قرار می‌دهند، در حالی که ارقام نهایی ارزیابی دقیق‌تری ارائه می‌دهند اما بعداً منتشر می‌شوند و گاهی اوقات باعث تعدیل در پیش‌بینی‌ها می‌شوند. این شاخص از رویکرد گزارش‌دهی ماه به ماه (MoM) استفاده می‌کند که نمایی به موقع از عملکرد کوتاه‌مدت بخش خدمات ارائه می‌دهد و بینش‌های بحرانی از حرکت اقتصادی و پیامدهای پتانسیل سیاست ارائه می‌دهد.
توضیحات اضافی
شاخص خدمات کایشین چین به عنوان یک شاخص پیشروی اقتصادی عمل می‌کند زیرا بینش‌های اولیه‌ای از روندهای اقتصادی قبل از داده‌های رسمی ارائه می‌دهد و به تحلیل‌گران کمک می‌کند حرکت‌های GDP را پیش‌بینی کنند. این شاخص تکمیل‌کننده دیگر PMI‌ها، مانند PMI تولید است و نمایی کامل‌تر از فعالیت اقتصادی چین و تأثیر جهانی آن ارائه می‌دهد.
صعودی یا نزولی برای ارز و سهام
بالاتر از حد انتظار: صعودی برای CNY، صعودی برای سهام. پایین‌تر از حد انتظار: نزولی برای CNY، نزولی برای سهام.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.

Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
1/905%
1/893%
1/893%
2/013%
2/013%
1/996%
1/996%
2/131%
2/131%
2/226%
2/226%
2/279%
2/279%
2/287%
2/287%
2/239%
2/239%
2/241%
2/241%
2/276%
2/276%
2/224%
2/224%
2/218%
2/218%
2/407%
2/407%
2/408%
2/408%
2/489%
2/489%
2/435%
2/435%
2/372%
2/372%
2/357%
2/357%
2/342%
2/342%
2/382%
2/382%
2/507%
2/507%
2/515%
2/515%
2/647%
2/647%
2/531%
2/531%
2/593%
2/593%
2/73%
2/73%
2/746%
2/746%
2/714%
2/714%
2/789%
2/789%
2/823%
2/823%
2/859%
2/859%
2/997%
2/997%
2/999%
2/999%
3/029%
3/029%
3/053%
3/053%
2/924%
2/924%
3/252%
3/252%
3/341%
3/341%
3/355%
3/355%
3/439%
3/439%
3/477%
3/477%
3/437%
3/437%
3/452%
3/452%
3/517%
3/517%
3/487%
3/487%
3/503%
3/503%
3/467%
3/467%
3/481%
3/481%
3/46%
3/46%
3/488%
3/488%
3/474%
3/474%
3/471%
3/471%
3/461%
3/461%
3/413%
3/413%
3/436%
3/436%
3/526%
3/526%
3/45%
3/45%
3/507%
3/507%
3/471%
3/471%
3/477%
3/477%
3/408%
3/408%
3/358%
3/358%
3/239%
3/239%
3/406%
3/406%
3/319%
3/319%
3/341%
3/341%
3/215%
3/215%
3/333%
3/333%
3/423%
3/423%
3/393%
3/393%
3/659%
3/659%
3/65%
3/65%
3/674%
3/674%
3/682%
3/682%
3/711%
3/711%
3/77%
3/77%
3/776%
3/776%
3/755%
3/755%
3/787%
3/787%
3/789%
3/789%
3/773%
3/773%
3/646%
3/646%
3/609%
3/609%
3/631%
3/631%
3/639%
3/639%
3/627%
3/627%
3/574%
3/574%
3/657%
3/657%
3/659%
3/659%
3/759%
3/759%
3/761%
3/761%
3/697%
3/697%
3/623%
3/623%
3/605%
3/605%
3/429%
3/429%
3/43%
3/43%
3/359%
3/359%
3/324%
3/324%
3/249%
3/249%
3/215%
3/215%
3/254%
3/254%
3/354%
3/354%
3/329%
3/329%
3/17%
3/17%
3/158%
3/158%
3/046%
3/046%
2/76%
2/76%
2/891%
2/891%
3/358%
3/358%
3/24%
3/24%
3/132%
3/132%
3/017%
3/017%
2/772%
2/772%
2/875%
2/875%
2/833%
2/833%
2/822%
2/822%
2/796%
2/796%
2/824%
2/824%
2/628%
2/628%
2/426%
2/426%
2/397%
2/397%
2/346%
2/346%
2/275%
2/275%
2/374%
2/374%
2/344%
2/344%
2/145%
2/145%
2/166%
2/166%
2/115%
2/115%
1/95%
1/95%
1/814%
1/814%
1/855%
1/855%
1/798%
1/798%
1/45%
1/45%
0/746%
0/746%
0/658%
0/658%
0/68%
0/68%
0/615%
0/615%
0/545%
0/545%
0/453%
0/453%
0/457%
0/457%
0/545%
0/545%
0/45%
0/45%
0/453%
0/453%
0/609%
0/609%
0/708%
0/708%
0/531%
0/531%
0/239%
0/239%
0/051%
0/051%
-0/147%
-0/147%
-0/12%
-0/12%
-0/167%
-0/167%
-0/156%
-0/156%
-0/291%
-0/291%
-0/32%
-0/32%
-0/41%
-0/41%
-0/472%
-0/472%
-0/561%
-0/561%
-0/563%
-0/563%
-0/64%
-0/64%
-0/605%
-0/605%
-0/586%
-0/586%
-0/557%
-0/557%
-0/47%
-0/47%
-0/643%
-0/643%
-0/663%
-0/663%
-0/632%
-0/632%
-0/621%
-0/621%
-0/635%
-0/635%
-0/644%
-0/644%
-0/792%
-0/792%
-0/771%
-0/771%
-0/754%
-0/754%
-0/754%
-0/754%
-0/675%
-0/675%
-0/651%
-0/651%
-0/636%
-0/636%
-0/629%
-0/629%
-0/641%
-0/641%
-0/648%
-0/648%
-0/65%
-0/65%
-0/657%
-0/657%
-0/649%
-0/649%
-0/655%
-0/655%
-0/653%
-0/653%
-0/651%
-0/651%
-0/648%
-0/648%
-0/645%
-0/645%
-0/642%
-0/642%
-0/641%
-0/641%
-0/638%
-0/638%
-0/637%
-0/637%
-0/64%
-0/64%
-0/648%
-0/648%
-0/646%
-0/646%
-0/647%
-0/647%
-0/636%
-0/636%
-0/641%
-0/641%
-0/632%
-0/632%
-0/626%
-0/626%
-0/628%
-0/628%
-0/619%
-0/619%
-0/623%
-0/623%
-0/618%
-0/618%
-0/629%
-0/629%
-0/632%
-0/632%
-0/63%
-0/63%
-0/625%
-0/625%
-0/605%
-0/605%
-0/61%
-0/61%
-0/59%
-0/59%
-0/614%
-0/614%
-0/637%
-0/637%
-0/642%
-0/642%
-0/642%
-0/642%
-0/621%
-0/621%
-0/614%
-0/614%
-0/632%
-0/632%
-0/602%
-0/602%
-0/692%
-0/692%
-0/676%
-0/676%
-0/647%
-0/647%
-0/616%
-0/616%
-0/598%
-0/598%
-0/627%
-0/627%
-0/648%
-0/648%
-0/638%
-0/638%
-0/646%
-0/646%
-0/628%
-0/628%
-0/611%
-0/611%
-0/601%
-0/601%
-0/581%
-0/581%
-0/573%
-0/573%
-0/575%
-0/575%
-0/567%
-0/567%
-0/578%
-0/578%
-0/571%
-0/571%
-0/565%
-0/565%
-0/56%
-0/56%
-0/556%
-0/556%
-0/564%
-0/564%
-0/557%
-0/557%
-0/559%
-0/559%
-0/53%
-0/53%
-0/526%
-0/526%
-0/496%
-0/496%
-0/488%
-0/488%
-0/514%
-0/514%
-0/517%
-0/517%
-0/498%
-0/498%
-0/496%
-0/496%
-0/462%
-0/462%
-0/403%
-0/403%
-0/388%
-0/388%
-0/431%
-0/431%
-0/465%
-0/465%
-0/494%
-0/494%
-0/534%
-0/534%
-0/625%
-0/625%
-0/716%
-0/716%
-0/642%
-0/642%
-0/591%
-0/591%
-0/582%
-0/582%
-0/586%
-0/586%
-0/596%
-0/596%
-0/575%
-0/575%
-0/576%
-0/576%
-0/583%
-0/583%
-0/589%
-0/589%
-0/601%
-0/601%
-0/576%
-0/576%
-0/576%
-0/576%
-0/59%
-0/59%
-0/58%
-0/58%
-0/628%
-0/628%
-0/648%
-0/648%
-0/612%
-0/612%
-0/593%
-0/593%
-0/628%
-0/628%
-0/632%
-0/632%
-0/609%
-0/609%
-0/624%
-0/624%
-0/729%
-0/729%
-0/742%
-0/742%
-0/717%
-0/717%
-0/728%
-0/728%
-0/679%
-0/679%
-0/645%
-0/645%
-0/65%
-0/65%
-0/655%
-0/655%
-0/621%
-0/621%
-0/625%
-0/625%
-0/626%
-0/626%
-0/592%
-0/592%
-0/566%
-0/566%
-0/559%
-0/559%
-0/562%
-0/562%
-0/547%
-0/547%
-0/555%
-0/555%
-0/567%
-0/567%
-0/552%
-0/552%
-0/535%
-0/535%
-0/527%
-0/527%
-0/521%
-0/521%
-0/52%
-0/52%
-0/52%
-0/52%
-0/531%
-0/531%
-0/521%
-0/521%
-0/521%
-0/52%
-0/51%
-0/51%
-0/517%
-0/517%
-0/501%
-0/501%
-0/499%
-0/499%
-0/518%
-0/518%
-0/532%
-0/532%
-0/551%
-0/551%
-0/557%
-0/557%
-0/565%
-0/565%
-0/566%
-0/566%
-0/577%
-0/577%
-0/572%
-0/572%
-0/566%
-0/566%
-0/578%
-0/578%
-0/626%
-0/626%
-0/62%
-0/62%
-0/621%
-0/621%
-0/625%
-0/625%
-0/568%
-0/568%
-0/551%
-0/551%
-0/554%
-0/554%
-0/551%
-0/551%
-0/618%
-0/618%
-0/555%
-0/555%
-0/545%
-0/545%
-0/551%
-0/551%
-0/559%
-0/559%
-0/545%
-0/545%
-0/54%
-0/54%
-0/558%
-0/558%
-0/563%
-0/563%
-0/558%
-0/558%
-0/57%
-0/57%
-0/584%
-0/584%
-0/591%
-0/591%
-0/592%
-0/592%
-0/565%
-0/565%
-0/567%
-0/567%
-0/567%
-0/567%
-0/557%
-0/557%
-0/56%
-0/56%
-0/55%
-0/55%
-0/55%
-0/55%
-0/55%
-0/55%
-0/559%
-0/559%
-0/566%
-0/566%
-0/57%
-0/57%
-0/578%
-0/578%
-0/584%
-0/584%
-0/589%
-0/589%
-0/572%
-0/572%
-0/561%
-0/561%
-0/563%
-0/563%
-0/56%
-0/56%
-0/558%
-0/558%
-0/568%
-0/568%
-0/543%
-0/543%
-0/557%
-0/557%
-0/598%
-0/598%
-0/665%
-0/665%
-0/637%
-0/637%
-0/631%
-0/631%
-0/646%
-0/646%
-0/643%
-0/643%
-0/631%
-0/631%
-0/606%
-0/606%
-0/591%
-0/591%
-0/597%
-0/597%
-0/577%
-0/577%
-0/586%
-0/586%
-0/586%
-0/586%
-0/586%
-0/586%
-0/571%
-0/571%
-0/568%
-0/568%
-0/568%
-0/568%
-0/556%
-0/556%
-0/546%
-0/546%
-0/536%
-0/536%
-0/542%
-0/542%
-0/55%
-0/55%
-0/562%
-0/562%
-0/595%
-0/595%
-0/601%
-0/601%
-0/565%
-0/565%
-0/541%
-0/541%
-0/538%
-0/538%
-0/545%
-0/545%
-0/555%
-0/555%
-0/541%
-0/541%
-0/535%
-0/535%
-0/453%
-0/453%
-0/492%
-0/492%
-0/527%
-0/527%
-0/52%
-0/52%
-0/522%
-0/522%
-0/613%
-0/613%
-0/543%
-0/543%
-0/554%
-0/554%
-0/574%
-0/574%
-0/589%
-0/589%
-0/591%
-0/591%
-0/526%
-0/526%
-0/53%
-0/53%
-0/526%
-0/526%
-0/622%
-0/622%
-0/697%
-0/697%
-0/665%
-0/665%
-0/666%
-0/666%
-0/638%
-0/638%
-0/651%
-0/651%
-0/677%
-0/677%
-0/675%
-0/675%
-0/635%
-0/635%
-0/616%
-0/616%
-0/624%
-0/624%
-0/633%
-0/633%
-0/589%
-0/589%
-0/569%
-0/569%
-0/566%
-0/566%
-0/587%
-0/587%
-0/585%
-0/585%
-0/587%
-0/587%
-0/583%
-0/583%
-0/574%
-0/574%
-0/56%
-0/56%
-0/546%
-0/546%
-0/569%
-0/569%
-0/582%
-0/582%
-0/563%
-0/563%
-0/541%
-0/541%
-0/496%
-0/496%
-0/494%
-0/494%
-0/497%
-0/497%
-0/487%
-0/487%
-0/495%
-0/495%
-0/493%
-0/493%
-0/485%
-0/485%
-0/469%
-0/466%
-0/468%
-0/468%
-0/439%
-0/439%
-0/424%
-0/424%
-0/431%
-0/431%
-0/427%
-0/427%
-0/418%
-0/418%
-0/453%
-0/453%
-0/435%
-0/435%
-0/399%
-0/399%
-0/401%
-0/401%
-0/426%
-0/426%
-0/397%
-0/397%
-0/376%
-0/376%
-0/366%
-0/366%
-0/377%
-0/377%
-0/385%
-0/385%
-0/314%
-0/314%
-0/283%
-0/283%
-0/358%
-0/358%
-0/321%
-0/321%
-0/294%
-0/294%
-0/259%
-0/259%
-0/257%
-0/257%
-0/257%
-0/257%
-0/209%
-0/209%
-0/197%
-0/197%
-0/198%
-0/198%
-0/19%
-0/19%
-0/186%
-0/186%
-0/188%
-0/188%
-0/187%
-0/187%
-0/194%
-0/194%
-0/201%
-0/201%
-0/2%
-0/2%
-0/201%
-0/201%
-0/202%
-0/202%
-0/19%
-0/19%
-0/19%
-0/19%
-0/175%