Italy EUR

Italy HCOB Composite PMI

影响:
低的

Latest Release:

Big Surprise:
EUR-2.3
实际的:
47.7
预报: 50
Previous/Revision:
51
Period: 12月 2024

Next Release:

预报: 48
Period: 1月 2025
它测量什么?
意大利HCOB综合PMI衡量意大利制造业和服务业的综合产出和商业活动。它通过使用扩散指数之类的关键指标来提供关于生产、新订单、就业和价格的洞察,其中指数高于50表示扩张,低于50表示收缩;它是意大利的国家指标。
频率
综合PMI每月发布一次,通常作为初步估计在月初发布。
为什么交易者关心?
交易者关注综合PMI,因为它提供了关于意大利经济健康状况的重要线索,影响着金融市场,如货币和股票市场。高于预期的PMI读数对欧元和意大利股票是利多信号,表示经济扩张,而较低的读数可能对经济放缓有看跌影响。
它来自哪里?
意大利HCOB综合PMI来自对制造业和服务业采购经理的调查,响应被衡量后在例如产出、新订单和就业等标准上得以反映。PMI采用50点标准来计算扩散指数,其中响应根据其在经济中的行业重要性进行加权。
描述
意大利HCOB综合PMI附有初步和最终报告,初步数据通常根据随后更多的完整信息进行修正。初步PMI较早发布并提供及时快照,常刺激立即的市场反应,而最终PMI提供更精确的视角,可能导致市场情绪修正。不同于其他报告方法,PMI不包括环比、季比或年比变化,但通过与中性50水平进行单一指数比较来显示当前经济状况。
附加说明
综合PMI是一个领先的经济指标,预示经济活动在发生前的变化,使其在评估未来可能状况时至关重要。它与欧洲和全球PMI趋势一致,提供与其他地区相比意大利经济地位的对比视角。
对货币和股票的利多或利空影响
高于预期:对欧元利多,对意大利股票利多。 低于预期:对欧元利空,对意大利股票利空。

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.

Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
47.7
50
51
-2.3
51
49.8
49.7
1.2
49.7
50.1
50.8
-0.4
50.8
50.5
50.3
0.3
50.3
51.1
51.3
-0.8
51.3
51.8
52.3
-0.5
52.3
53.4
52.6
-1.1
52.6
52.4
53.5
0.2
53.5
50.7
51.1
2.8
51.1
51.5
50.7
-0.4
50.7
49.4
48.6
1.3
48.6
48.5
48.1
0.1
48.1
48
47
0.1
47
48.4
49.2
-1.4
49.2
48.7
48.2
0.5
48.2
49.1
48.9
-0.9
48.9
49.1
49.7
-0.2
49.7
50.5
52
-0.8
52
53.1
55.3
-1.1
55.3
54.4
55.2
0.9