Australia AUD

Australia Monthly CPI Indicator

影响:
高的

Latest Release:

Surprise:
0.1%
| AUD
实际的:
2.4%
预报: 2.3%
Previous/Revision:
2.4%
Period: 4月 2025

Next Release:

预报:
Period: 5月 2025
它测量什么?
澳大利亚月度CPI指标通过跟踪一篮子商品和服务的价格变化来衡量通货膨胀。这个国家指标提供了消费者价格趋势和通胀压力的见解,对于经济政策评估至关重要。
频率
该报告每月发布,通常在下个月的第一周提供初步估计数据。
为什么交易者在意?
交易者密切关注澳大利亚月度CPI指标,因为它直接影响货币政策决定,影响利率和经济预测。高于预期的结果可能对于澳元(AUD)和股票来说是有利的,因为这可能预示着加息,而较低的读数可能会带来看跌的影响。
它的来源是什么?
该指标由澳大利亚统计局根据从多个零售店、服务提供商和其他相关实体的定价数据进行的全面调查计算得出。此计算涉及对不同组成部分进行加权,以准确反映它们在家庭消费中的重要性。
描述
月度CPI的初步估计基于早期价格收集和分析,提供了及时的通胀趋势见解,但由于可能的修订而带有一定的不确定性。最终的CPI数据提供了更准确的描述,来源于扩展的数据集和附加验证,对于调整经济预测至关重要。金融市场倾向于对初步数据做出强烈反应,因为它具有即时相关性,而最终数据可能会导致小幅修正或强化市场趋势。月度CPI报告主要关注月环比变化,说明短期通胀动态,而非同比或季度环比增速,这提供了更广泛的结构性见解。
附加说明
该指标被认为是同步指标,因为它反映当前经济状况,类似于全球其他定价报告,如美国消费者价格指数。由于其与利率和经济健康状况的关系,它是评估澳大利亚储备银行货币立场的重要基准。
对货币和股票的利好或利空
高于预期:利好AUD,利好股票。低于预期:利空AUD,利空股票。鹰派语气:暗示更高的利率或通胀担忧,通常对AUD有利,但由于借贷成本上升,对股票不利。

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.

Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
2.4%
2.3%
2.4%
0.1%
2.4%
2.5%
2.5%
-0.1%
2.5%
2.6%
2.5%
-0.1%
2.5%
2.5%
2.3%
2.3%
2.2%
2.1%
0.1%
2.1%
2.3%
2.1%
-0.2%
2.1%
2.4%
2.7%
-0.3%
2.7%
2.8%
3.5%
-0.1%
3.5%
3.4%
3.8%
0.1%
3.8%
3.8%
4%
4%
3.8%
3.6%
0.2%
3.6%
3.4%
3.5%
0.2%
3.5%
3.4%
3.4%
0.1%
3.4%
3.5%
3.4%
-0.1%
3.4%
3.6%
3.4%
-0.2%
3.4%
3.7%
4.3%
-0.3%
4.3%
4.4%
4.9%
-0.1%
4.9%
5.2%
5.6%
-0.3%
5.6%
5.4%
5.2%
0.2%
5.2%
5.2%
4.9%
4.9%
5.2%
5.4%
-0.3%
5.4%
5.4%
5.5%
5.6%
6.1%
6.8%
-0.5%
6.8%
6.4%
6.3%
0.4%
6.3%
6.5%
6.8%
-0.2%
6.8%
7.1%
7.4%
-0.3%
7.4%
8%
8.4%
-0.6%
8.4%
7.6%
7.3%
0.8%
7.3%
7.3%
6.9%
6.9%
7.4%
7.3%
-0.5%
7.3%
7%
6.9%
0.3%