Switzerland CHF

Switzerland KOF Leading Indicators

影响:
中等的

Latest Release:

Big Surprise:
CHF-4.9
| CHF
实际的:
97.1
预报: 102
Previous/Revision:
103.2
Period: 4月 2025

Next Release:

预报:
Period: 5月 2025
它衡量什么?
KOF领先指数衡量瑞士经济的未来方向,特别是预测未来六个月的GDP增长。它通过编制关键指标成国家指数来评估诸如生产、就业和其他行业等各组件,其中数值高于零表示经济扩张,低于零则表示经济收缩。
频率
该指标每月发布一次,预估通常在每月的最后几天公布。
为什么交易员关心?
交易员密切关注KOF领先指数,因为它提供有关瑞士经济未来表现的见解,影响与瑞士法郎(CHF)和瑞士股票相关的决策。高于预期的读数通常对CHF和股票是利好的,因为预期经济增长,而较低的读数可能导致看空情绪。
它来自何处?
KOF领先指数源于广泛的经济数据,包括对贡献于瑞士经济产出的企业和行业的调查。该指数使用复合计算方法,通过标准化数据建模技术将来自各个行业的众多领先指标统一为一个预测值。
描述
KOF领先指数基于早期数据提供综合展望,随着新信息的出现可能会进行修正,这是有时可能导致市场情绪调整的一个因素。由于数据的及时性,市场通常对初步数据反应更多,而最终数据具有调整初始反应的潜力。该指标是按月度发布,以反映最新的经济趋势,不需要像同比措施那样消除季节性,但通常会与历史趋势一起评估以准确衡量经济动量。
附加说明
KOF领先指数作为一个关键的领先经济指标,帮助在更常规的数据出现之前预测潜在的经济转折点。其全面性使其能够与其他全球领先指标进行比较,以评估外部风险或对瑞士经济轨迹的影响。
对货币和股票的看涨或看跌
高于预期:对CHF看涨,对股票看涨。 低于预期:对CHF看跌,对股票看跌。

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.

Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
97.1
102
103.2
-4.9
103.9
102.2
102.6
1.7
101.7
102
103
-0.3
101.6
100.2
99.6
1.4
99.5
101.1
102.9
-1.6
101.8
100
99.7
1.8
99.5
105
104.5
-5.5
105.5
102
105
3.5
101.6
100.6
100.6
1
101
102.5
102.7
-1.5
102.7
101
102.2
1.7
100.3
102.3
101.9
-2
101.8
102.1
100.4
-0.3
101.5
102
102
-0.5
101.6
102
102.5
-0.4
101.5
98.2
98
3.3
97.8
97
97.2
0.8
96.7
96.6
95.1
0.1
95.8
95
95.9
0.8
95.9
90.5
96.2
5.4
91.1
91.5
92.1
-0.4
92.2
90.5
90.7
1.7
90.8
90.9
91.4
-0.1
90.2
95.3
96.1
-5.1
96.4
98.1
99.2
-1.7
98.2
100.5
98.9
-2.3
100
98
97.4
2
97.2
93.3
91.5
3.9
92.2
90.5
89.2
1.7
89.5
91.3
90.9
-1.8
90.9
93.2
92.3
-2.3
93.8
84.5
93.5
9.3
86.5
89
90.5
-2.5
90.1
95.2
95.2
-5.1
96.9
96.3
97.7
0.6
96.8
102.3
103
-5.5
101.7
99.4
99.2
2.3
99.7
100.8
105.3
-1.1
105
108.5
107.2
-3.5
107.8
106.3
107.2
1.5
107
106.4
107.5
0.6
108.5
109
110.2
-0.5
110.7
108.2
111
2.5
110.6
110
113.5
0.6
113.5
125
130.9
-11.5
129.8
130
133.3
-0.2
133.4
144.7
143.7
-11.3
143.2
136
136.4
7.2
134
119.5
118
14.5
117.8
104.6
102.6
13.2
102.7
96.6
96.5
6.1
96.5
102
104.1
-5.5
104.3
100.5
103.7
3.8
103.5
101
106.3
2.5
106.6
107
110.1
-0.4
113.8
106
110.2
7.8
110.2
90
86
20.2
85.7
75
60.6
10.7
59.4
77
49.6
-17.6
53.2
70
59.7
-16.8
63.5
63.5
91.7
92.9
81.6
101.8
11.3
100.9
97.5
100.1
3.4
100.1
97
96.2
3.1
96.4
94.5
92.6
1.9
93
95
94.8
-2
94.7
93.9
93.1
0.8
93.2
96.2
95.5
-3
97
94.5
97
2.5
97.1
93
93.8
4.1
93.6
94.9
93.8
-1.3
94.4
95.9
96.2
-1.5
96.2
96.9
97.1
-0.7
97.4
93.9
93
3.5
92.4
95.4
96.2
-3
95
97
96.4
-2
96.3
98.7
98.9
-2.4
99.1
99.5
100.2
-0.4
100.1
100.6
102.3
-0.5
102.2
101
98.9
1.2
100.3
101.1
101.7
-0.8
101.1
101.5
101.3
-0.4
101.7
101
100
0.7
100
104.5
103.3
-4.5
105.3
105.5
105.1
-0.2
106
107.3
108.4
-1.3
108
106.2
107.6
1.8
106.9
110.9
111.4
-4
111.3
110.2
110.4
1.1
110.3
109.2
109.8
1.1
109.1
105.5
105.8
3.6
105.8
105.5
104.2
0.3
104.1
107
108
-2.9
106.8
106
105.8
0.8
105.5
102.5
102
3
101.6
106.2
106.3
-4.6
106
107.8
107.2
-1.8
107.6
106
106.9
1.6
107.2
102
102
5.2
101.7
103.3
102.1
-1.6
102.2
103.1
102.2
-0.9
102.2
104
103.9
-1.8
104.7
101.8
101.6
2.9
101.3
100.8
99.7
0.5
99.8
102
103.5
-2.2
102.7
101.3
102.6
1.4
102.4
102.8
101.8
-0.4
102.9
102.8
102.6
0.1
102.7
102.8
102.8
-0.1
102.5
101.9
102.6
0.6
102.4
98.8
100.4
3.6
100.3
96
96.8
4.3
96.6
99.1
97.3
-2.5
97.9
100.2
100.4
-2.3
99.8
100
100.4
-0.2
100.4
100.9
101.2
-0.5
100.7
99.5
100.4
1.2
99.8
90.3
89.8
9.5
89.7
93.6
92.7
-3.9
93.1
90
89.5
3.1