Germany EUR

Germany HCOB Services PMI Final

影响:
高的

Latest Release:

Surprise:
EUR-0.1
| EUR
实际的:
49.3
预报: 49.4
Previous/Revision:
51.6
Period: 12月 2024

Next Release:

预报: 51
Period: 1月 2025
它测量什么?
德国HCOB服务业PMI终值通过评估商业活动水平、新订单、就业、价格和库存变化等关键领域来衡量德国服务业的整体表现。它是从服务行业的采购经理调查数据中导出的国家指标,跟踪商业状况的变化;高于50的读数表示扩张,而低于50则表示收缩。
频率
该报告每月发布一次,是对初步数据的修订,通常在下一个月的第一周发布。
交易者为何关心?
交易者密切关注这个指数,因为它提供了关于德国服务业健康状况的及时洞察,对于整个经济至关重要。更高或改善的PMI可能会因为对经济活动更强的预期而导致欧元和德国股票的看涨情绪,而下降可能会产生看跌影响。
它从什么中得出?
最终PMI来自对德国服务行业采购经理的调查数据。该指数采用扩散指数方法,其中受访者指出关键业务活动的改善、无变化或下降,然后将其加权并结合以形成整体PMI读数。
描述
德国HCOB服务业PMI终值通过涵盖更完整的数据集细化初步估算,减少对早期回复的依赖。初步数据作为早期指示,由于其及时性常常引发市场的即时反应。最终数据通过提供更精确的行业健康状况描述来调整初步情绪,可能会改变经济预测和市场定位。
附加说明
作为领先的经济指标,服务业PMI提供了德国经济趋势和潜在拐点的早期信号。它与其他欧洲和全球PMI报告的相关性允许进行比较经济分析并有助于预测国际商业状况。
对货币和股票的看涨或看跌影响
高于预期:对欧元看涨,对德国股票看涨。低于预期:对欧元看跌,对德国股票看跌。

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.

Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
49.3
49.4
51.6
-0.1
51.6
51.4
50.6
0.2
50.6
50.6
51.2
51.2
51.4
52.5
-0.2
52.5
52
53.1
0.5
53.1
53.5
54.2
-0.4
54.2
53.9
53.2
0.3
53.2
53.3
50.1
-0.1
50.1
49.8
48.3
0.3
48.3
48.2
47.7
0.1
47.7
47.6
49.3
0.1
49.3
48.4
49.6
0.9
49.6
48.7
48.2
0.9
48.2
48
50.3
0.2
50.3
49.8
47.3
0.5
47.3
47.3
52.3
52.3
52
54.1
0.3
54.1
54.1
57.2
57.2
57.8
56
-0.6
56
55.7
53.7
0.3