France EUR

France Budget Balance

影响:
低的

Latest Release:

Surprise:
EUR-10.1B
实际的:
€-40.3B
预报: €-30.2B
Previous/Revision:
€-17.3B
Period: 4月 2025

Next Release:

预报: €-48B
Period: 5月 2025
是什么指标?
法国预算余额衡量一段时间内政府收入与支出之间的差额,通过预算盈余或赤字的视角评估财政健康。此国家指标反映了政府的借款需求,影响财政政策规划,主要指标包括总收入和总政府支出。
频率
法国预算余额报告按月发布,通常在每月的第一周发布,通常反映初步数据,这些数据后来可能会被修正。
为什么交易者关心?
交易者密切关注法国预算余额,因为这会影响国家的财政信誉和借款成本,从而影响欧元在外汇市场的强弱。赤字大于预期可能会对欧元产生利空压力或提高法国政府债券的收益率,而盈余或赤字小于预期可能会对货币产生利多影响。
它是如何得出的?
通过将政府从税收和费用等来源收到的实际资金与其在公共服务、福利和债务利息支付上的支出进行对比,得出法国预算余额。数据是通过政府财务操作和会计记录编制,以计算净余额。
描述
法国预算余额的初步数据提供了财政健康的早期估算,市场经常依赖这些数据以获取及时的见解,尽管随着更多完整数据的出现,数据可能会被修正。初步数据为交易者提供即时信息,可以改变市场预期,而最终数据则提供更精细的视角,但由于滞后,其影响较小。报告常用环比分析来捕捉因经济活动水平变化而引起的财政波动,为短期财政趋势提供洞察。
附加说明
法国预算余额是一个滞后指标,反映过去政府的财政活动,通过与GDP增长等领先指标的分析,可能暗示未来趋势。它与欧盟其他国家的财政报告具有可比性,协调的财政政策可能会影响更广泛的经济趋势。
对货币和股票的影响:看涨还是看跌
高于预期:欧元看涨,法国股票看涨。 低于预期:欧元看跌,法国股票看跌。 鸽派基调:通常意味着较低的利率或经济支持,对欧元通常不利,但由于借贷成本较低,对法国股票有利。

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.

Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
€-40.3B
€-30.2B
€-17.3B
€-10.1B
€-17.3B
€-22.3B
€-156.3B
€5B
€-156.3B
€-175B
€-172.5B
€18.7B
€-172.5B
€-162B
€-157.4B
€-10.5B
€-157.39B
€-185B
€-173.78B
€27.61B
€-173.78B
€-190B
€-171.9B
€16.22B
€-171.9B
€-188B
€-156.9B
€16.1B
€-156.9B
€-175B
€-103.5B
€18.1B
€-103.5B
€-130B
€-113.5B
€26.5B
€-113.5B
€-115B
€-91.6B
€1.5B
€-91.6B
€-60B
€-52.8B
€-31.6B
€-52.8B
€-52B
€-44B
€-0.8B
€-44.03B
€-54.4B
€-25.74B
€10.37B
€-25.74B
€-27B
€-173.26B
€1.26B
€-173.26B
€-173B
€-197.97B
€-0.26B
€-197.97B
€-185B
€-177.71B
€-12.97B
€-177.71B
€-194B
€-186.12B
€16.29B
€-186.12B
€-187B
€-187.93B
€0.88B
€-187.9B
€-185.2B
€-168.99B
€-2.7B
€-168.99B
€-140B
€-116.18B
€-28.99B
€-116.18B
€-100B
€-107.22B
€-16.18B
€-107.22B
€-92B
€-83.71B
€-15.22B
€-83.71B
€-74B
€-54.72B
€-9.71B
€-54.72B
€-38B
€-50.32B
€-16.72B
€-50.32B
€-42.2B
€-21.15B
€-8.12B
€-21.15B
€-150B
€-151.47B
€128.85B
€-151.5B
€-157B
€-159.3B
€5.5B
€-159.3B
€-145B
€-143.22B
€-14.3B
€-143.22B
€-150B
€-146.61B
€6.78B
€-149.9B
€-105B
€-131.22B
€-44.9B
€-131.22B
€-72B
€-76.08B
€-59.22B
€-76.08B
€-83B
€-82.3B
€6.92B
€-82.3B
€-70B
€-67.32B
€-12.3B
€-67.32B
€-39B
€-38.33B
€-28.32B
€-38.33B
€-33B
€-37.63B
€-5.33B
€-37.63B
€-58B
€-15.93B
€20.37B
€-15.93B
€-60B
€-170.73B
€44.07B
€-170.73B
€-186B
€-178.1B
€15.27B
€-181.02B
€-190B
€-171.62B
€8.98B
€-171.6B
€-173B
€-175.1B
€1.4B
€-175.12B
€-176B
€-178.05B
€0.88B
€-178.04B
€-174B
€-166.64B
€-4.04B
€-166.64B
€-156B
€-131.29B
€-10.64B
€-131.29B
€-124B
€-118.79B
€-7.29B
€-118.79B
€-104B
€-91.37B
€-14.79B
€-91.37B
€-98B
€-60.07B
€6.63B
€-60.07B
€-40B
€-47.47B
€-20.07B
€-47.47B
€-38B
€-21.86B
€-9.47B
€-21.86B
€-27B
€-178.1B
€5.14B
€-178.1B
€-170B
€-176.85B
€-8.1B
€-176.85B
€-166B
€-159.85B
€-10.85B
€-159.9B
€-132B
€-161.6B
€-27.9B
€-161.6B
€-145B
€-165.7B
€-16.6B
€-165.69B
€-140B
€-151.04B
€-25.69B
€-151.04B
€-128B
€-124.88B
€-23.04B
€-124.88B
€-105B
€-117.85B
€-19.88B
€-117.9B
€-107B
€-92.1B
€-10.9B
€-92.1B
€-68B
€-52.5B
€-24.1B
€-52.5B
€-52B
€-35.2B
€-0.5B
€-35.2B
€-44B
€-20B
€8.8B
€-20B
€-22B
€-92.8B
€2B
€-92.8B
€-65B
€-113.9B
€-27.8B
€-113.9B
€-98B
€-107.7B
€-15.9B
€-108B
€-107B
€-109B
€-1B
€-109B
€-64B
€-123.1B
€-45B
€-123.1B
€-92B
€-109.7B
€-31.1B
€-109.7B
€-84B
€-77.3B
€-25.7B
€-77.3B
€-60.5B
€-83.9B
€-16.8B
€-83.9B
€-70.2B
€-67.2B
€-13.7B
€-67.2B
€-62.2B
€-40.7B
€-5B
€-40.7B
€-41.1B
€-36.9B
€0.4B
€-36.9B
€-24B
€-17.3B
€-12.9B
€-17.3B
€-12B
€-76.1B
€-5.3B
€-76.1B
€-85B
€-95.6B
€8.9B
€-95.6B
€-88.2B
€-87B
€-7.4B
€-87B
€-75.2B
€-87.1B
€-11.8B
€-87.1B
€-74B
€-97.3B
€-13.1B
€-97.3B
€-90.8B
€-82.8B
€-6.5B
€-82.8B
€-80.6B
€-58.9B
€-2.2B
€-58.9B
€-60B
€-55.1B
€1.1B
€-55.1B
€-63.2B
€-54.3B
€8.1B
€-54.3B
€-56.4B
€-33.1B
€2.1B
€-33.1B
€-34.2B
€-28.48B
€1.1B
€-28.5B
€-20.3B
€-10.8B
€-8.2B
€-10.76B
€-4.9B
€-67.8B
€-5.86B
€-67.8B
€-66.5B
€-84.7B
€-1.3B
€-84.7B
€-90.2B
€-77.1B
€5.5B
€-77.2B
€-86.2B
€-76.3B
€9B
€-76.3B
€-82B
€-93B
€5.7B
€-93B
€-94.3B
€-83.8B
€1.3B
€-83.8B
€-78.2B
€-62.3B
€-5.6B
€-62.3B
€-60.4B
€-66.4B
€-1.9B
€-66.4B
€-64.7B
€-57.93B
€-1.7B
€-57.93B
€-54.3B
€-29.6B
€-3.63B
€-29.6B
€-26.9B
€-21.5B
€-2.7B
€-21.5B
€-24.5B
€-5.4B
€3B
€-5.4B
€-9.2B
€-69B
€3.8B
€-69B
€-79.7B
€-93.3B
€10.7B
€-93.3B
€-91.5B
€-85.5B
€-1.8B
€-85.5B
€-84.3B
€-83B
€-1.2B
€-83B
€-78.6B
€-96B
€-4.4B
€-96B
€-91.5B
€-80.8B
€-4.5B
€-80.8B
€-81.3B
€-61.8B
€0.5B
€-61.8B
€-61.1B
€-65.7B
€-0.7B
€-65.7B
€-64.8B
€-56.5B
€-0.9B
€-56.5B
€-61.2B
€-27.5B
€4.7B
€-27.5B
€-28.3B
€-25.58B
€0.8B
€-25.58B
€-25.6B
€-9.2B
€0.02B
€-9.2B
€-10.2B
€-70.5B
€1B
€-70.5B
€-97.2B
€-82.8B
€26.7B
€-82.8B
€-76.2B
€-76.2B
€-79.2B
€-74.5B
€3B
€-74.5B
€-80.4B
€-89.65B
€5.9B
€-89.65B
€-87.3B
€-79.8B
€-2.35B
€-79.8B
€-61.2B
€-58.5B
€-18.6B