China CNY

China Caixin Composite PMI

影响:
低的

Latest Release:

Surprise:
CNY0.9
实际的:
52.3
预报: 51.4
Previous/Revision:
51.9
Period: 12月 2024

Next Release:

预报: 51.5
Period: 1月 2025
它测量什么?
中国财新综合PMI(采购经理指数)衡量中国制造业和服务业的整体经济健康状况。它关注生产、新订单、就业和价格,读数高于50表示扩张,低于50表示收缩。它是一个国家指标。
频率
中国财新综合PMI每月发布一次,通常在参考月结束后的第一周内发布,通常包括初步估计。
为什么交易者关心?
中国财新综合PMI为全球第二大经济体的经济活动和增长潜力提供了有价值的见解,从而影响全球金融市场。强于预期的结果通常对人民币和股票是利好的,由于预期经济扩张,而较弱的结果可能由于增长担忧而带来看空压力。
它来源于什么?
中国财新综合PMI来源于对制造业和服务业广泛范围内的采购经理的调查。调查结果汇编成扩散指数,受访者指出其商业状况的改善、恶化或无变化。
描述
中国财新综合PMI提供了中国经济基本趋势的快照,结合服务业和制造业PMI的数据,提供全面的概览。初步数据通常早期指明经济状况,而最终报告提供更准确且有时修订的信息,因为考虑到更多的回应。金融市场通常对初步读数反应更为强烈,因为其及时性,但最终数据的任何重大修订可能影响经济预测和交易策略。
附加说明
作为一个领先的经济指标,中国财新综合PMI在经济趋势变化成为更全面经济报告明显之前已作出预测。它通常与全球经济更广泛的状况相关,反映出中国在国际贸易和投资中的重要角色。
对货币和股票的利多或利空影响
高于预期:利多人民币,利多中国股票。 低于预期:利空人民币,利空中国股票。

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.

Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
52.3
51.4
51.9
0.9
51.9
50.6
50.3
1.3
50.3
50.5
51.2
-0.2
51.2
51
51.2
0.2
51.2
52.3
52.8
-1.1
52.8
53.6
54.1
-0.8
54.1
51.5
52.8
2.6
52.8
52.5
52.7
0.3
52.7
52.7
52.5
52.5
53.1
52.5
-0.6
52.5
52.6
52.6
-0.1
52.6
51.6
51.6
1
51.6
51.2
50
0.4
50
51
50.9
-1
50.9
53
51.7
-2.1
51.7
51.9
51.9
-0.2
51.9
51
52.5
0.9
52.5
55.1
55.6
-2.6
55.6
53.3
53.6
2.3
53.6
55
54.5
-1.4
54.5
54.5
54.2
54.2
52.5
51.1
1.7
51.1
52.8
48.3
-1.7
48.3
46
47
2.3
47
47
48.3
48.3
48.1
48.5
0.2
48.5
53.1
53
-4.6
53
50
54
3
54
55.7
55.3
-1.7
55.3
50
42.2
5.3
42.2
45
37.2
-2.8
37.2
43.8
43.9
-6.6
43.9
49
50.1
-5.1
50.1
50.8
50.1
-0.7
50.1
50.5
53
-0.4
53
51.3
51.2
1.7
51.2
51
51.5
0.2
51.5
51
51.4
0.5
51.4
49
47.2
2.4
47.2
52.9
53.1
-5.7
53.1
50.4
50.6
2.7
50.6
53.6
53.8
-3
53.8
54.3
54.7
-0.5
54.7
53.3
53.1
1.4
53.1
52.8
51.7
0.3
51.7
51.9
52.2
-0.2
52.2
55.4
55.8
-3.2
55.8
56.4
57.5
-0.6
57.5
55.4
55.7
2.1
55.7
54
54.5
1.7
54.5
54
55.1
0.5
55.1
54
54.5
1.1
54.5
55
55.7
-0.5
55.7
52.9
54.5
2.8
54.5
49.1
47.6
5.4
47.6
48.5
46.7
-0.9
46.7
42.5
27.5
4.2
27.5
47.2
51.9
-19.7
51.9
51.1
52.6
0.8
52.6
52.9
53.2
-0.3
53.2
51.2
52
2
52
51.1
51.9
0.9
51.9
52.7
51.6
-0.8
51.6
51.1
50.9
0.5
50.9
50.3
50.6
0.6
50.6
51.2
51.5
-0.6
51.5
52.4
52.7
-0.9
52.7
52.5
52.9
0.2
52.9
50
50.7
2.9
50.7
50.4
50.9
0.3
50.9
52
52.2
-1.1
52.2
50
51.9
2.2
51.9
50.5
50.5
1.4
50.5
51.9
52.1
-1.4
52.1
52.5
52
-0.4
52
52
52.3
52.3
51
53
1.3
53
51.7
52.3
1.3
52.3
52.2
52.3
0.1
52.3
50.5
51.8
1.8
51.8
53.1
53.3
-1.3
53.3
53.4
53.7
-0.1
53.7
52.9
53
0.8
53
51.7
51.6
1.3
51.6
51
51
0.6
51
51.4
51.4
-0.4
51.4
51
52.4
0.4
52.4
52.6
51.9
-0.2
51.9
51
51.1
0.9
51.1
51.3
51.5
-0.2
51.5
51
51.2
0.5
51.2
52.1
52.1
-0.9
52.1
52.8
52.6
-0.7
52.6
52
52.2
0.6
52.2
52.9
53.5
-0.7
53.5
52.9