Australia Federal Elections

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历史

Chart

影响:

中等的

Next Release:

预报:

Period: 5月 2022

它衡量什么？

澳大利亚联邦选举并不直接衡量经济指标；相反，它们决定了国家的政治领导层，从而影响经济政策和治理。选举间接影响的关键领域包括财政政策、监管环境和国家层面的经济改革战略。

频率

澳大利亚联邦选举大约每三年举行一次，时间取决于众议院的解散，选举结果在投票结束后不久公布。

为什么交易者在意？

交易者密切关注澳大利亚联邦选举，因为其结果可能会显著影响经济和财政政策，从而影响投资者信心和市场稳定。支持亲商业政策的政府可能会推动澳元和股市上涨，而不清晰或不受欢迎的结果可能会导致市场波动和不确定性。

它从什么中得出？

澳大利亚联邦选举结果来自全国各选区的投票，政党在众议院争夺多数席位，通常还伴有参议院选举。该过程由澳大利亚选举委员会管理，采用优先投票制来决定代表。

描述

澳大利亚的联邦选举包括全国范围内的投票，以选举众议院成员和有时部分参议院的席位。在计票过程中公布初步结果，当所有选票，包括缺席和邮寄选票，完成统计后确认最终结果。由于其对未来政策导向的潜在影响，初步结果通常会引发即时的市场反应，而最终结果可能会随着确认治理稳定性和方向而细化这些市场观点。

附加说明

澳大利亚联邦选举在政治周期的背景下被视作一个领先的经济指标，因为它们预示着经济政策和战略方向的变化。选举结果可能会与全球趋势一致或相悖，从而影响澳大利亚在国际经济关系和谈判中的参与方式。

对货币和股票的看涨或看跌

高于预期：看涨澳元，看涨股票。低于预期：看跌澳元，看跌股票。

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.

Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.

Green Number	Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number	Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish	Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish	Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.

Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous	Surprise