Canada CAD

Canada GDP MoM Prel

影响:
高的

Latest Release:

Big Surprise:
0.7%
| CAD
实际的:
0.1%
预报: -0.6%
Previous/Revision:
0%
Period: 4月 2025

Next Release:

预报: -0.3%
Period: 5月 2025
它测量什么?
加拿大GDP月环比初值衡量的是该国货物和服务价值与上个月相比的变化。这项指标通过评估消费支出、商业投资和政府支出等成分,强调短期经济波动,显示经济是扩张还是收缩。结果高于0%表示增长,低于0%则表明萎缩,关注国家经济表现。
频率
加拿大GDP月环比初值为每月发布的初步估计,通常在下个月底公布。
交易者为什么关心?
交易者密切关注GDP月环比初值报告,因为它是衡量经济健康状况的重要指标,并可能影响货币政策决策。高于预期的增长对加元和股票市场是利多的,而表现不佳可能导致利空市场反应,因为可能迫使政策制定者调高利率预期。
它来源于哪里?
这一初步GDP估计来源于制造业、零售和服务业等各个领域收集的数据。报告利用统计技术将部分可用数据预测整体生产,其初步性质涉及可能会在后续修正的估计。
描述
加拿大GDP月环比初值是专为提供每月经济活动变化的及时洞察而设计的早期估计。初步数据依赖部分信息和模型来预测GDP,使其成为快速评估的重要工具,但随着更全面数据的到来,可能会进行修正。市场通常对该报告的及时性反应强烈,尽管后续修正会影响基于更准确最终GDP计算的金融预测和头寸调整,强调经济的短期变化。
附加说明
GDP月环比初值作为领先指标,提供对短期经济动向的洞察,有助于预测季度GDP趋势。与其他国家类似GDP指标的比较可以为加拿大的相对经济表现提供背景。
对于货币和股票的看涨或看跌
高于预期:利多加元,利多股票。 低于预期:利空加元,利空股票。 鹰派语气:如果暗示更高的利率或通胀担忧,通常对加元有利但因借贷成本上升对股票不利。

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.

Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
0.1%
-0.6%
0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
-0.1%
-0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
-0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0%
-0.1%
0%
0.1%
0.2%
-0.1%
0%
0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
-0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
-0.1%
0.3%
0%
0%
0.1%
0.2%
-0.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.6%
0.3%
0.4%
0%
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0%
0.2%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
0%
0%
0.1%
-0.1%
0%
0.2%
0%
0%
-0.2%
-0.2%
0.1%
0.3%
-0.3%
0.4%
0%
0%
0.4%
0.2%
0.2%
0%
-0.1%
-0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.3%
-0.1%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
-0.1%
-0.1%
0.4%
0%
0%
0.1%
0%
0.1%
0%
-0.3%
0.1%
0.3%
0.1%
-0.2%
0%
0.3%
0%
-0.3%
0.1%
0.3%
-0.1%
0.3%
0.1%
-0.4%
0.1%
0%
-0.2%
0.1%
-0.2%
0.1%
0.2%
-0.3%
0.2%
0.3%
0.7%
-0.1%