Canada Balance of Trade

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Latest Release:

Big Surprise:

CAD-4,92M

CAD

Sebenarnya:

C$-1,52M

Ramalan: C$3,4M

Previous/Revision:

C$3,13M

Period: Apr 2025

Next Release:

Ramalan: C$-6,9M

Period: Mei 2025

Apa yang Diukur?

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Amerika Serikat mengukur tingkat aktivitas di sektor jasa AS, menilai kondisi bisnis, pesanan baru, ketenagakerjaan, dan harga. Indikator nasional ini menggunakan ukuran kunci, dengan pembacaan indeks di atas 50 menunjukkan ekspansi di sektor jasa, sementara di bawah 50 menunjukkan kontraksi.

Frekuensi

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI dirilis setiap bulan, biasanya pada minggu pertama bulan sebagai angka final tanpa revisi.

Mengapa Pedagang Peduli?

Pedagang memantau dengan cermat indikator ini karena mencerminkan kesehatan sektor jasa AS, memengaruhi ekspektasi pertumbuhan ekonomi dan kebijakan moneter. Pembacaan yang kuat umumnya mendukung dolar AS dan ekuitas, karena menunjukkan aktivitas ekonomi yang kuat, sementara pembacaan yang lebih lemah dapat berdampak bearish pada aset-aset ini.

Dari Mana Asalnya?

Indeks ini berasal dari survei eksekutif pembelian dan pasokan di seluruh negeri, menggunakan indeks difusi berdasarkan tanggapan mengenai aktivitas bisnis, pesanan baru, ketenagakerjaan, dan pengiriman pemasok. Survei mengumpulkan tanggapan ini, menerapkan standar industri untuk mengukur arah keseluruhan sektor jasa.

Deskripsi

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI menangkap aspek penting dari komponen jasa ekonomi AS, terutama segmen terbesar berdasarkan kontribusi PDB. Indeks ini membedakan dirinya dari indeks yang berfokus pada manufaktur dengan menilai secara khusus tren di industri non-manufaktur, termasuk perawatan kesehatan, keuangan, dan ritel. Pasar keuangan sering bereaksi kuat terhadap publikasi awal PMI karena ketepatan waktunya, dengan data final menawarkan sedikit penyesuaian karena diterbitkan tanpa versi awal. Indeks ini tidak memerlukan perbandingan bulan-ke-bulan, kuartal-ke-kuartal, atau tahun-ke-tahun karena dirancang untuk mencerminkan sentimen dan kondisi langsung dalam sektor jasa.

Catatan Tambahan

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI melengkapi ISM Manufacturing PMI, memberikan pandangan menyeluruh tentang lanskap ekonomi AS sebagai indikator ekonomi utama. Mengingat fokusnya pada sektor jasa, indeks ini mencerminkan tren konsumen dan bisnis yang lebih luas, memengaruhi persepsi tentang lingkungan ekonomi global dan berfungsi sebagai sinyal awal pergeseran ekonomi.

Bullish atau Bearish untuk Mata Uang dan Saham

Lebih tinggi dari yang diharapkan: Bullish untuk USD, Bullish untuk Saham. Lebih rendah dari yang diharapkan: Bearish untuk USD, Bearish untuk Saham.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.

Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.

Green Number	Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number	Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish	Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish	Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.

Date	Actual	Forecast	Previous	Surprise
Apr 03, 2025	C$-1,52M	C$3,4M	C$3,13M	C$-4,92M
Mar 06, 2025	C$3,97M	C$1,3M	C$1,7M	C$2,67M
Feb 05, 2025	C$0,71M	C$0,75M	C$-0,99M	C$-0,04M
Jan 07, 2025	C$-0,32M	C$-0,9M	C$-0,54M	C$0,58M
Des 05, 2024	C$-0,92M	C$-0,8M	C$-1,3M	C$-0,12M
Nov 05, 2024	C$-1,26M	C$-0,8M	C$-1,47M	C$-0,46M
Okt 08, 2024	C$-1,1M	C$-0,5M	C$-0,29M	C$-0,6M
Sep 04, 2024	C$0,68M	C$0,85M	C$-0,18M	C$-0,17M
Agt 06, 2024	C$0,64M	C$-1,84M	C$-1,61M	C$2,48M
Jul 03, 2024	C$-1,93M	C$-1,2M	C$-1,32M	C$-0,73M
Jun 06, 2024	C$-1,05M	C$-1,4M	C$-1,99M	C$0,35M
Mei 02, 2024	C$-2,28M	C$1,5M	C$0,48M	C$-3,78M
Apr 04, 2024	C$1,39M	C$0,8M	C$0,61M	C$0,59M
Mar 07, 2024	C$0,5M	C$0,1M	C$-0,86M	C$0,4M
Feb 07, 2024	C$-0,31M	C$1,1M	C$1,06M	C$-1,41M
Jan 09, 2024	C$1,57M	C$2M	C$3,2M	C$-0,43M
Des 06, 2023	C$2,97M	C$1,6M	C$1,12M	C$1,37M
Nov 07, 2023	C$2,04M	C$1M	C$0,95M	C$1,04M
Okt 05, 2023	C$0,72M	C$-1,5M	C$-0,44M	C$2,22M
Sep 06, 2023	C$-0,99M	C$-3,65M	C$-4,92M	C$2,66M
Agt 08, 2023	C$-3,73M	C$-2,9M	C$-2,68M	C$-0,83M
Jul 06, 2023	C$-3,44M	C$1,15M	C$0,89M	C$-4,59M
Jun 07, 2023	C$1,94M	C$0,9M	C$0,23M	C$1,04M
Mei 04, 2023	C$0,97M	C$0,2M	C$-0,49M	C$0,77M
Apr 05, 2023	C$0,42M	C$1,8M	C$1,2M	C$-1,38M
Mar 08, 2023	C$1,92M	C$-0,06M	C$1,19M	C$1,98M
Feb 07, 2023	C$-0,16M	C$-0,5M	C$-0,22M	C$0,34M
Jan 05, 2023	C$-0,04M	C$0,61M	C$0,13M	C$-0,65M
Des 06, 2022	C$1,21M	C$1,2M	C$0,61M	C$0,01M
Nov 03, 2022	C$1,14M	C$1,34M	C$0,55M	C$-0,2M
Okt 05, 2022	C$1,52M	C$3,45M	C$2,37M	C$-1,93M
Sep 07, 2022	C$4,05M	C$3,8M	C$4,88M	C$0,25M
Agt 04, 2022	C$5,05M	C$4,8M	C$4,77M	C$0,25M
Jul 07, 2022	C$5,32M	C$2,4M	C$2,17M	C$2,92M
Jun 07, 2022	C$1,5M	C$2,9M	C$2,28M	C$-1,4M
Mei 04, 2022	C$2,49M	C$3,9M	C$3,08M	C$-1,41M
Apr 05, 2022	C$2,66M	C$2,9M	C$3,12M	C$-0,24M
Mar 08, 2022	C$2,62M	C$1,6M	C$-1,58M	C$1,02M
Feb 08, 2022	C$-0,14M	C$2,5M	C$2,47M	C$-2,64M
Jan 06, 2022	C$3,13M	C$2,03M	C$2,26M	C$1,1M
Des 07, 2021	C$2,1M	C$2M	C$1,4M	C$0,1M
Nov 04, 2021	C$1,86M	C$1,55M	C$1,51M	C$0,31M
Okt 05, 2021	C$1,94M	C$0,43M	C$0,74M	C$1,51M
Sep 02, 2021	C$0,78M	C$1,4M	C$2,56M	C$-0,62M
Agt 05, 2021	C$3,23M	C$-0,68M	C$-1,58M	C$3,91M
Jul 02, 2021	C$-1,39M	C$0,37M	C$0,46M	C$-1,76M
Jun 08, 2021	C$0,59M	C$-0,7M	C$-1,35M	C$1,29M
Mei 04, 2021	C$-1,14M	C$0,7M	C$1,42M	C$-1,84M
Apr 07, 2021	C$1,04M	C$1M	C$1,21M	C$0,04M
Mar 05, 2021	C$1,41M	C$-1,4M	C$-1,98M	C$2,81M
Feb 05, 2021	C$-1,67M	C$-3M	C$-3,56M	C$1,33M
Jan 07, 2021	C$-3,34M	C$-3,5M	C$-3,73M	C$0,16M
Des 04, 2020	C$-3,76M	C$-3M	C$-3,8M	C$-0,76M
Nov 04, 2020	C$-3,25M	C$-2,6M	C$-3,21M	C$-0,65M
Okt 06, 2020	C$-2,45M	C$-2M	C$-2,53M	C$-0,45M
Sep 03, 2020	C$-2,45M	C$-2,5M	C$-1,59M	C$0,05M
Agt 05, 2020	C$-3,19M	C$-0,9M	C$-1,33M	C$-2,29M
Jul 02, 2020	C$-0,68M	C$-3M	C$-4,27M	C$2,32M
Jun 04, 2020	C$-3,25M	C$-2,36M	C$-1,53M	C$-0,89M
Mei 05, 2020	C$-1,41M	C$-2M	C$-0,89M	C$0,59M
Apr 02, 2020	C$-0,98M	C$-1,87M	C$-1,66M	C$0,89M
Mar 06, 2020	C$-1,47M	C$-0,83M	C$-0,73M	C$-0,64M
Feb 05, 2020	C$-0,4M	C$-0,61M	C$-1,2M	C$0,21M
Jan 07, 2020	C$-1,09M	C$-1,15M	C$-1,61M	C$0,06M
Des 05, 2019	C$-1,08M	C$-1,37M	C$-1,23M	C$0,29M
Nov 05, 2019	C$-0,98M	C$-0,7M	C$-1,24M	C$-0,28M
Okt 04, 2019	C$-0,96M	C$-1M	C$-1,38M	C$0,04M
Sep 04, 2019	C$-1,12M	C$-0,4M	C$-0,06M	C$-0,72M
Agt 02, 2019	C$0,14M	C$-0,3M	C$0,56M	C$0,44M
Jul 03, 2019	C$0,76M	C$-1,5M	C$-1,08M	C$2,26M
Jun 06, 2019	C$-0,97M	C$-2,8M	C$-2,34M	C$1,83M
Mei 09, 2019	C$-3,21M	C$-2,45M	C$-3,42M	C$-0,76M
Apr 17, 2019	C$-2,9M	C$-3,5M	C$-3,09M	C$0,6M
Mar 27, 2019	C$-4,25M	C$-3,5M	C$-4,82M	C$-0,75M
Mar 06, 2019	C$-4,59M	C$-2,8M	C$-1,98M	C$-1,79M
Jan 08, 2019	C$-2,06M	C$-1,95M	C$-0,85M	C$-0,11M
Des 06, 2018	C$-1,17M	C$-0,7M	C$-0,89M	C$-0,47M
Nov 02, 2018	C$-0,42M	C$0,15M	C$-0,55M	C$-0,57M
Okt 05, 2018	C$0,53M	C$-0,5M	C$-0,19M	C$1,03M
Sep 05, 2018	C$-0,11M	C$-1,13M	C$-0,74M	C$1,02M
Agt 03, 2018	C$-0,63M	C$-2,3M	C$-2,72M	C$1,67M
Jul 06, 2018	C$-2,77M	C$-2,05M	C$-1,86M	C$-0,72M
Jun 06, 2018	C$-1,9M	C$-3,4M	C$-3,93M	C$1,5M
Mei 03, 2018	C$-4,14M	C$-2,24M	C$-2,93M	C$-1,9M
Apr 05, 2018	C$-2,69M	C$-2,1M	C$-1,94M	C$-0,59M
Mar 07, 2018	C$-1,91M	C$-2,5M	C$-3,05M	C$0,59M
Feb 06, 2018	C$-3,19M	C$-2,2M	C$-2,71M	C$-0,99M
Jan 05, 2018	C$-2,54M	C$-1,2M	C$-1,55M	C$-1,34M
Des 05, 2017	C$-1,47M	C$-2,7M	C$-3,36M	C$1,23M
Nov 03, 2017	C$-3,18M	C$-3M	C$-3,18M	C$-0,18M
Okt 05, 2017	C$-3,41M	C$-2,6M	C$-2,98M	C$-0,81M
Sep 06, 2017	C$-3,04M	C$-3,1M	C$-3,76M	C$0,06M
Agt 04, 2017	C$-3,6M	C$-1,35M	C$-1,36M	C$-2,25M
Jul 06, 2017	C$-1,09M	C$-0,53M	C$-0,55M	C$-0,56M
Jun 02, 2017	C$-0,37M	C$-0,07M	C$-0,94M	C$-0,3M
Mei 04, 2017	C$-0,14M	C$-0,85M	C$-1,08M	C$0,71M
Apr 04, 2017	C$-0,97M	C$0,5M	C$0,42M	C$-1,47M
Mar 07, 2017	C$0,81M	C$0,7M	C$0,45M	C$0,11M
Feb 07, 2017	C$0,92M	C$0,35M	C$1,01M	C$0,57M
Jan 06, 2017	C$0,53M	C$-1,6M	C$-1,02M	C$2,13M
Des 06, 2016	C$-1,13M	C$-2M	C$-4,38M	C$0,87M
Nov 04, 2016	C$-4,08M	C$-1,7M	C$-1,99M	C$-2,38M
Okt 05, 2016	C$-1,94M	C$-2,6M	C$-2,19M	C$0,66M
Sep 02, 2016	C$-2,49M	C$-3,25M	C$-3,97M	C$0,76M
Agt 05, 2016	C$-3,63M	C$-2,82M	C$-3,5M	C$-0,81M
Jul 06, 2016	C$-3,28M	C$-2,7M	C$-3,32M	C$-0,58M
Jun 03, 2016	C$-2,94M	C$-2,45M	C$-3,18M	C$-0,49M
Mei 04, 2016	C$-3,41M	C$-1,4M	C$-2,47M	C$-2,01M
Apr 05, 2016	C$-1,91M	C$-0,9M	C$-0,63M	C$-1,01M
Mar 04, 2016	C$-0,66M	C$-1,05M	C$-0,63M	C$0,39M
Feb 05, 2016	C$-0,59M	C$-2,2M	C$-1,59M	C$1,61M
Jan 06, 2016	C$-1,99M	C$-2,6M	C$-2,49M	C$0,61M
Des 04, 2015	C$-2,76M	C$-1,7M	C$-2,33M	C$-1,06M
Nov 04, 2015	C$-1,73M	C$-1,9M	C$-2,66M	C$0,17M
Okt 06, 2015	C$-2,53M	C$-1,2M	C$-0,82M	C$-1,33M
Sep 03, 2015	C$-0,59M	C$-1,3M	C$-0,81M	C$0,71M
Agt 05, 2015	C$-0,48M	CAD -2.8B	C$-3,37M
Jul 07, 2015	C$-3,34M	C$-3,3M	C$-2,99M	C$-0,04M
Jun 03, 2015	C$-2,97M	C$-1,5M	C$-3,85M	C$-1,47M
Mei 05, 2015	C$-3,02M	C$0,1M	C$-2,22M	C$-3,12M