Australia AUD

Australia RBA Weighted Median CPI QoQ

影响:
高的

Latest Release:

实际的:
0.7%
预报: 0.7%
Previous/Revision:
0.6%
Period: 4月 2025

Next Release:

预报:
Period: 7月 2025
它衡量什么?
RBA加权中位数CPI是一个关键指标,通过评估商品和服务篮子的中间价格变动来衡量澳大利亚的潜在通货膨胀。与总体CPI不同,这一指标旨在过滤掉波动的价格变动,提供全国范围内更稳定的通胀趋势指示。
频率
该报告每季度发布一次,通常在每个日历季度后的第一个月末发布,以提供较为稳定的修正,而不是初步估计。
为什么交易者关注它?
交易者密切关注这一指标,因为它提供了有关经济中通胀压力的见解,影响到人们对澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)利率变动的预期。较高的读数可能对澳大利亚元(AUD)有利,因为它们增加了加息的可能性,而较低的读数可能是不利因素,类似地影响股票。
它从何而来?
加权中位数CPI是通过将各种商品的价格变动按年排序,并选择中位数作为核心通胀指标得出的。这种方法有助于平滑波动的价格变动噪声,依赖从各种商品和服务的消费者价格中收集的详细数据。
描述
RBA加权中位数CPI是评估潜在通胀成分的关键工具,与总体通胀区分开来,去除了极端的价格变动,因为这些变动往往掩盖了长期趋势。初步报告捕捉基于不完整数据的初步估计,通常在更多的全面数据可用于最终结果时会有修正,市场的最初反应往往更强烈,最终数据的调整也很常见。该指标按季度发布,使其对于识别重复的通胀模式有用,特别是考虑到其关注核心通胀的稳定,而不是月度或年度比较中检测到的突变。
额外说明
作为一个滞后指标,加权中位数CPI补充了修正均值等其他通胀测量,提供了一个经过微调的视角,协助RBA制定货币政策。其趋势不仅与国内经济状况相关联,还与其他经济体的通胀趋势有关,影响贸易和投资流动。
对货币和股票的利空或利多影响
高于预期:对AUD有利,对股票不利。 低于预期:对AUD不利,对股票有利。 鹰派语气:表示更高的利率或通胀担忧,通常对AUD有利,但由于借贷成本较高,对股票不利。

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.

Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
0.7%
0.7%
0.6%
0.5%
0.6%
0.9%
-0.1%
0.9%
0.8%
0.8%
0.1%
0.8%
1%
1.1%
-0.2%
1.1%
0.9%
0.9%
0.2%
0.9%
1%
1.3%
-0.1%
1.3%
1%
1%
0.3%
1%
1.1%
1.2%
-0.1%
1.2%
1.3%
1.6%
-0.1%
1.6%
1.4%
1.4%
0.2%
1.4%
1.5%
1.4%
-0.1%
1.4%
1.4%
1%
1%
1.1%
0.9%
-0.1%
0.9%
0.7%
0.7%
0.2%
0.7%
0.5%
0.5%
0.2%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.4%
0.5%
0.5%
-0.1%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.4%
0.4%
-0.1%
0.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0.1%
0.4%
0.4%
-0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
-0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
-0.1%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.5%
0.5%
-0.2%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.4%
0.5%
0.4%
-0.1%
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
-0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0.4%
-0.1%
0.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0.1%
0.5%
0.5%
-0.4%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.5%
0.5%
-0.2%
0.5%
0.5%
0.8%