France EUR

France HCOB Services PMI Final

影响:
高的

Latest Release:

Big Surprise:
EUR1.2
| EUR
实际的:
46.9
预报: 45.7
Previous/Revision:
49.2
Period: 12月 2024

Next Release:

预报: 48.2
Period: 1月 2025
它衡量什么?
法国HCOB服务业PMI终值衡量法国服务业的商业活动水平,包括零售、酒店和交通等行业。它评估诸如新业务订单、就业和对未来活动的预期等关键领域,特别关注活动水平的变化,读数高于50表示扩张,低于50表示收缩,这是一个国家指标。
频率
法国HCOB服务业PMI终值每月发布一次,在初步估算之后,通常在下个月初发布,以提供修订和更准确的数据。
为什么交易者在意?
交易者关注服务业PMI,因为它提供了法国服务业健康状况的重要见解,而服务业是该国经济的重要组成部分。高于预期的PMI读数通常对欧元和法国股票是利好的,因为它们预示着经济扩张,而较弱的读数可能产生看跌效应,抑制投资者信心,可能导致对法国股票和欧元的需求降低。
它来源于什么?
PMI来源于对服务业中400多家公司采购经理的每月调查。该调查使用扩散指数,响应被加权以反映子行业的经济重要性,提供该行业商业状况的及时快照。
描述
法国HCOB服务业PMI有初步和最终两种形式,抓住服务业商业状况的月度变化,特别关注产出、新订单和就业。初步数据基于初始响应,提供即时的市场见解,但由于其提前性可能导致市场波动。相比之下,最终数据通过纳入后期响应提供更全面的快照,可能引导市场情绪调整,如预期修正或投资策略调整。
额外备注
服务业PMI是一个领先经济指标,因为它在官方统计数据之前提供了商业状况的及时更新,帮助市场参与者和政策制定者预测更广泛的经济趋势。它也可以与全球其他PMI指标进行比较,以评估相对经济表现和特定行业的增长趋势。
对货币和股票的利好或利空
高于预期:利好欧元,利好法国股票。 低于预期:利空欧元,利空法国股票。

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.

Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
46.9
45.7
49.2
1.2
49.2
48.3
49.6
0.9
49.6
48.3
55
1.3
55
55
50.1
50.1
50.7
49.6
-0.6
49.6
48.8
49.3
0.8
49.3
49.4
51.3
-0.1
51.3
50.5
48.3
0.8
48.3
47.8
48.4
0.5
48.4
48
45.4
0.4
45.4
45
45.7
0.4
45.7
44.3
45.4
1.4
45.4
45.3
45.2
0.1
45.2
46.1
44.4
-0.9
44.4
43.9
46
0.5
46
46.7
47.1
-0.7
47.1
47.4
48
-0.3
48
48
52.5
52.5
52.8
54.6
-0.3
54.6
56.3
53.9
-1.7