Germany EUR

Germany HCOB Composite PMI Final

影响:
低的

Latest Release:

Surprise:
EUR-0.1
实际的:
47.2
预报: 47.3
Previous/Revision:
48.6
Period: 12月 2024

Next Release:

预报: 47.8
Period: 1月 2025
它衡量什么?
德国HCOB综合PMI(采购经理指数)明确衡量制造业和服务业采购经理的活动水平,评估包括生产、新订单、就业、供应商交付和库存的整体商业状况。该指数专注于识别经济的扩张或收缩,以高于50的读数指示扩张,低于50的读数指示收缩,并作为全国经济指标。
频率
报告每月发布,最终数据通常在初步估算后的一个月的第一周发布。
为什么交易者关心这个?
交易者密切关注HCOB综合PMI,因为它及时提供关于德国经济健康状况的见解,影响金融市场的波动性和情绪。结果积极或高于预期往往对欧元和股票利好,因为它们表明经济增长强劲,而较弱的读数可能对欧元和股票不利,表明潜在的经济弱点。
它从何而来?
综合PMI是从制造业和服务业私人公司的采购经理收集的调查回复中计算的。该数据使用行业标准方法编制为加权平均数,允许全面反映经济状况。
描述
HCOB综合PMI最终数据包括服务业和制造业的综合数据,在初步报告修订后提供更明确的经济活动情况。初步数据由于其时效性更具市场动向,而最终数据则提供更多准确性,可能导致市场情绪的调整。该指数按月(月环比)报告,从上个月的变化中评估当前的经济趋势和识别经济动能的转变。
附加说明
HCOB综合PMI被认为是一个领先指标,提供经济表现的早期信号,通常早于更广泛的经济趋势并影响其他地区,特别是在欧元区内。它经常与全球类似指数进行比较,例如美国ISM PMI,提供经济分歧或趋同的见解。
对货币和股票的看涨或看跌
高于预期:对欧元看涨,对股票看涨。 低于预期:对欧元看跌,对股票看跌。 鹰派语气:通常对欧元有利,但因借贷成本上升对股票不利。

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.

Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
47.2
47.3
48.6
-0.1
48.6
48.4
47.5
0.2
47.5
47.2
48.4
0.3
48.4
48.5
49.1
-0.1
49.1
48.7
50.4
0.4
50.4
50.6
52.4
-0.2
52.4
52.2
50.6
0.2
50.6
50.5
47.7
0.1
47.7
47.4
46.3
0.3
46.3
46.1
47
0.2
47
47.1
47.4
-0.1
47.4
46.7
47.8
0.7
47.8
47.1
45.9
0.7
45.9
45.8
46.4
0.1
46.4
46.2
44.6
0.2
44.6
44.7
48.5
-0.1
48.5
48.3
50.6
0.2
50.6
50.8
53.9
-0.2
53.9
54.3
54.2
-0.4
54.2
53.9
52.6
0.3