Germany EUR

Germany 15-Year Bund Auction

影响:
低的

Latest Release:

实际的:
2.83%
预报:
Previous/Revision:
3.08%
Period: 4月 2025

Next Release:

预报:
Period: 5月 2025
它测量什么?
德国15年期国债拍卖衡量对德国发行的15年期政府债券的需求和利率。此事件评估投资者对德国政府债务的信心,并提供对长期借贷成本的洞察,这些成本是国家经济前景的体现。
频率
拍卖不定期举行,通常每年进行几次,结果通常在拍卖当天公布。
为何交易者关注此事?
交易者密切关注国债拍卖,以评估对德国债务的市场情绪,这会影响欧元和欧洲资产市场。在拍卖中,较高的需求或较低的收益率表明市场对德国财政健康状况的强烈信心,可能导致欧元和德国债券走强的结果,而拍卖结果不佳可能会带来看跌影响。
它的来源是什么?
拍卖结果源于金融机构和大型投资者提交的竞标,他们指出希望购买的债券价格和数量。此过程有助于通过竞争性竞标设定收益率,反映市场对未来利率和通胀预期的评估。
描述
国债拍卖通过揭示利率和投标倍数比率提供洞察,投标倍数比率表示需求。拍卖日后立即可获得初步结果,而更详细的分析可能随后发布,使市场对最终数据有更深入的理解。交易者和投资者主要根据初步结果做出反应,因为其及时性,而最终数据可以微调市场情绪和投资策略。
附注
拍卖作为衡量投资者对政府债务和经济稳定性信心的领先指标。其结果可以与类似的欧洲主权债券拍卖进行比较,为区域经济状况提供背景。
对货币和股票的看涨或看跌影响
高于预期:看涨欧元,看涨德国股票。 低于预期:看跌欧元,看跌德国股票。 鹰派语气:表明利率上升或通胀担忧,通常对欧元有利,但对德国股票因借贷成本上升而不利。

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.

Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
2.83%
3.08%
3.08%
2.6%
2.6%
2.74%
2.74%
2.64%
2.64%
2.52%
2.52%
2.42%
2.42%
2.44%
2.44%
2.6%
2.6%
2.8%
2.8%
2.54%
2.54%
2.65%
2.65%
2.51%
2.51%
2.77%
2.77%
3.05%
3.05%
2.67%
2.67%
2.64%
2.64%
2.51%
2.51%
2.79%
2.79%
2.1%
2.1%
2.26%
2.26%
2.12%
2.12%
1.74%
1.74%
1.04%
1.04%
1.91%
1.91%
1.15%
1.15%
0.99%
0.99%
0.37%
0.37%
0.15%
0.15%
-0.06%
-0.06%
0.02%
0.02%
-0.06%